Ipsos
Polls scored
155
94 races, 2003–2024
Lean
2.1 pts toward Democrats
95% range 1.1 to 3.1
Average miss
4.6 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
80%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-03 | 2024 President · US | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 President · US | R+1.0 | R+1.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-21 | 2024 President · US | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-11-01 | 2020 President · US | D+7.0 | D+4.4 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · AZ | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+9.0 | D+2.3 | +6.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · FL | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | +7.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · MI | D+10.0 | D+2.8 | +7.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · NC | D+1.0 | R+1.3 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · PA | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · WI | D+10.0 | D+0.6 | +9.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+7.0 | D+1.7 | +5.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · NC | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | +3.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-25 | 2020 President · US | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 President · AZ | even | D+0.3 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 President · FL | D+1.0 | R+3.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 President · NC | D+1.0 | R+1.3 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+7.0 | D+2.3 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 Senate · NC | D+1.0 | R+1.7 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-23 | 2020 President · MI | D+10.0 | D+2.8 | +7.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-23 | 2020 President · PA | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | +5.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-23 | 2020 President · WI | D+9.0 | D+0.6 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-23 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+6.0 | D+1.7 | +4.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-21 | 2020 President · US | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | +3.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · US | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · AZ | D+4.0 | D+0.3 | +3.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+8.0 | D+2.3 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 President · FL | D+5.0 | R+3.4 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 President · MI | D+8.0 | D+2.8 | +5.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 President · NC | D+2.0 | R+1.3 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+5.0 | D+1.7 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 Senate · NC | even | R+1.7 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-16 | 2020 President · PA | D+4.0 | D+1.2 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-16 | 2020 President · WI | D+6.0 | D+0.6 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-14 | 2020 President · US | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-22 | 2018 Governor · KS | D+2.0 | D+5.1 | -3.1 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-21 | 2018 Senate · AZ | R+2.0 | D+2.3 | -4.3 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-21 | 2018 Senate · FL | D+5.0 | R+0.1 | +5.1 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-21 | 2018 Governor · AZ | R+20.0 | R+14.2 | -5.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-21 | 2018 Governor · FL | D+6.0 | R+0.4 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-16 | 2018 Senate · NV | R+5.7 | D+5.0 | -10.7 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-16 | 2018 Governor · NV | R+4.8 | D+4.1 | -8.9 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-04 | 2016 President · US | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · CA | D+27.1 | D+30.1 | -3.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · FL | D+0.9 | R+1.2 | +2.1 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · GA | R+5.4 | R+5.1 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · IL | D+12.2 | D+17.1 | -4.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · IN | R+15.9 | R+19.2 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · MA | D+17.4 | D+27.2 | -9.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · MI | D+1.4 | R+0.2 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · NC | R+0.9 | R+3.7 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · NJ | D+9.9 | D+14.1 | -4.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · NY | D+18.5 | D+24.0 | -5.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · OH | D+1.0 | R+8.1 | +9.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · PA | D+3.0 | R+0.7 | +3.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · TX | R+9.5 | R+9.0 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · VA | D+4.8 | D+5.3 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · US | D+7.3 | D+2.2 | +5.1 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · AL | R+16.1 | R+27.7 | +11.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · AZ | R+4.7 | R+3.5 | -1.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · CO | D+5.4 | D+4.9 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · CT | D+10.1 | D+13.6 | -3.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · DE | D+15.6 | D+11.4 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · HI | D+18.6 | D+32.2 | -13.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · ID | R+23.2 | R+31.8 | +8.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · KY | R+20.6 | R+29.8 | +9.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · MD | D+22.1 | D+26.4 | -4.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · ME | D+7.3 | D+3.0 | +4.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · MN | D+7.9 | D+1.5 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · MO | R+8.3 | R+18.6 | +10.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · MS | R+17.2 | R+17.8 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · MT | R+18.9 | R+20.4 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · ND | R+23.6 | R+35.7 | +12.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · NE | R+21.7 | R+25.0 | +3.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · NH | D+2.6 | D+0.4 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · NM | D+2.6 | D+8.2 | -5.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · OR | D+9.7 | D+11.0 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · SC | R+5.8 | R+14.3 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · SD | R+22.7 | R+29.8 | +7.1 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · TN | R+13.4 | R+26.0 | +12.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · VT | D+24.9 | D+26.4 | -1.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · WA | D+8.2 | D+15.7 | -7.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · WI | D+5.9 | R+0.8 | +6.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · WV | R+23.8 | R+42.1 | +18.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · AR | R+15.2 | R+26.9 | +11.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · IA | D+0.2 | R+9.4 | +9.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · KS | R+16.2 | R+20.6 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · LA | R+15.4 | R+19.6 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · NV | D+3.2 | D+2.4 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · OK | R+30.9 | R+36.4 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · UT | R+6.8 | R+18.1 | +11.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-25 | 2016 President · US | D+5.3 | D+2.2 | +3.1 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · CA | D+39.0 | D+30.1 | +8.9 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · FL | D+3.9 | R+1.2 | +5.1 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · IL | D+21.0 | D+17.1 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · MI | D+4.2 | R+0.2 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · NY | D+21.7 | D+24.0 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · OH | R+0.3 | R+8.1 | +7.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · PA | D+2.2 | R+0.7 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · TX | R+14.4 | R+9.0 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · US | D+8.5 | D+2.2 | +6.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · GA | R+4.7 | R+5.1 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · IN | R+14.6 | R+19.2 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · MA | D+29.3 | D+27.2 | +2.1 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · NC | D+4.2 | R+3.7 | +7.9 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · NJ | D+16.7 | D+14.1 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · VA | D+8.8 | D+5.3 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-26 | 2014 Senate · ME | R+32.0 | R+37.0 | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-26 | 2014 Senate · IA | even | R+8.3 | +8.3 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-26 | 2014 Governor · ME | even | R+4.8 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-26 | 2014 Governor · IA | R+23.0 | R+21.7 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-17 | 2014 Senate · CO | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-17 | 2014 Governor · CO | even | D+3.3 | -3.3 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 President · CO | D+1.0 | D+5.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 President · FL | R+1.0 | D+0.9 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 President · OH | D+4.0 | D+3.0 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 President · VA | D+2.0 | D+3.9 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 Senate · FL | D+15.0 | D+13.0 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 Senate · OH | D+9.0 | D+6.0 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 Senate · VA | D+3.0 | D+5.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-03 | 2012 President · US | D+2.0 | D+3.9 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · CO | even | D+5.4 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · CO | R+3.0 | D+5.4 | -8.4 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · FL | D+2.0 | D+0.9 | +1.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · FL | D+3.0 | D+0.9 | +2.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · OH | D+2.0 | D+3.0 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · OH | D+8.0 | D+3.0 | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · VA | D+3.0 | D+3.9 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · VA | D+9.0 | D+3.9 | +5.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 Senate · FL | D+12.0 | D+13.0 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 Senate · FL | D+14.0 | D+13.0 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 Senate · OH | D+8.0 | D+6.0 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 Senate · OH | D+9.0 | D+6.0 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 Senate · VA | D+3.0 | D+5.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 Senate · VA | D+8.0 | D+5.9 | +2.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-29 | 2012 President · US | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 President · US | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 President · US | D+4.0 | D+3.9 | +0.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-18 | 2012 President · US | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Governor · PA | R+6.0 | R+9.0 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Senate · PA | even | R+2.0 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-19 | 2010 Senate · CO | R+3.0 | D+1.6 | -4.6 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Governor · FL | R+3.0 | R+1.1 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Senate · FL | R+21.0 | R+28.7 | +7.7 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-16 | 2010 Governor · CO | D+32.0 | D+39.9 | -7.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-13 | 2010 Governor · CA | D+4.0 | D+12.9 | -8.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-13 | 2010 Senate · CA | D+1.0 | D+10.0 | -9.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-31 | 2008 President · US | D+7.0 | D+7.4 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · US | D+6.0 | D+7.4 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-18 | 2008 President · US | D+8.0 | D+7.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-25 | 2004 President · MD | D+21.0 | D+13.0 | +8.0 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-25 | 2004 Senate · MD | D+37.0 | D+31.1 | +5.9 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-19 | 2004 President · US | D+3.0 | R+2.4 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2003-10-22 | 2003 Governor · KY | R+9.0 | R+10.1 | +1.1 | autopsy |
| 2003-10-22 | 2003 Governor · MS | R+5.0 | R+6.8 | +1.8 | autopsy |