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Data integrity

For each state, what we checked the results against, how much of the vote is accounted for, and what is still open. This rates the evidence, not any forecast. States not listed here have not yet been checked against their own official files and should be read as unverified.

  • AK · us president · 2024-11-05

    Verified, with notes
    Served from
    the state's official file (source)
    Statewide totals checked against
    538 statewide (proxy)
    Finest level published
    precinct
    Votes counted above that level
    48.6%
    MEDSL compilation
    agrees
    • A large share of votes (48.6%) is counted above the state's counting unit (District 1 - Absentee, District 1 - Early Voting, District 1 - Question); precinct maps show the remainder only.
    • Statewide totals compared against 538's compilation, not yet against the certified canvass document.

  • FL · us president · 2024-11-05

    Verified, with notes
    Served from
    the state's official file (source)
    Statewide totals checked against
    538 statewide (proxy)
    Finest level published
    precinct
    Votes counted above that level
    0.0%
    MEDSL compilation
    agrees
    • 3078 units correspond to the compiled source only by equal vote counts; the state's own IDs are kept as the identity.
    • Statewide totals compared against 538's compilation, not yet against the certified canvass document.

  • IN · us president · 2024-11-05

    Verified, with notes
    Served from
    the state's official file (source)
    Statewide totals checked against
    538 statewide (proxy)
    Finest level published
    precinct in 42 counties, county in 50
    Votes counted above that level
    42.1%
    MEDSL compilation
    differs (14 counties)
    • A large share of votes (42.1%) is counted above the state's counting unit (Allen, Benton, Blackford); precinct maps show the remainder only.
    • The official source publishes results by precinct in 42 counties, county in 50, coarser than where ballots are counted.
    • 5 units correspond to the compiled source only by equal vote counts; the state's own IDs are kept as the identity.
    • Statewide totals compared against 538's compilation, not yet against the certified canvass document.

  • LA · us president · 2024-11-05

    Verified, with notes
    Served from
    the state's official file (source)
    Statewide totals checked against
    538 statewide (proxy)
    Finest level published
    precinct
    Votes counted above that level
    48.2%
    MEDSL compilation
    differs (64 counties)
    • A large share of votes (48.2%) is counted above the state's counting unit (EARLY VOTING, PROVISIONAL); precinct maps show the remainder only.
    • 8 units correspond to the compiled source only by equal vote counts; the state's own IDs are kept as the identity.
    • Statewide totals compared against 538's compilation, not yet against the certified canvass document.

  • ME · us president · 2024-11-05

    Verified, with notes
    Served from
    the state's official file (source)
    Statewide totals checked against
    538 statewide (proxy)
    Finest level published
    municipality
    Votes counted above that level
    0.8%
    MEDSL compilation
    differs (1 counties)
    • Statewide totals compared against 538's compilation, not yet against the certified canvass document.

  • NJ · us president · 2024-11-05

    Verified, with notes
    Served from
    the state's official file (source)
    Statewide totals checked against
    538 statewide (proxy)
    Finest level published
    municipality
    Votes counted above that level
    0.1%
    MEDSL compilation
    differs (8 counties)
    • The official source publishes results by municipality, coarser than where ballots are counted.
    • Statewide totals compared against 538's compilation, not yet against the certified canvass document.

  • NY · us president · 2024-11-05

    Verified, with notes
    Served from
    the state's official file (source)
    Statewide totals checked against
    certified source itself
    Finest level published
    county
    Votes counted above that level
    0.0%
    MEDSL compilation
    agrees
    • The official source publishes results by county, coarser than where ballots are counted.