InsiderAdvantage
Polls scored
116
65 races, 2004–2024
Lean
0.5 pts toward Democrats
95% range -0.8 to 1.8
Average miss
4.0 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
69%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-03 | 2024 President · Georgia | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-03 | 2024 President · Iowa | R+6.8 | R+13.2 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+2.9 | R+5.5 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Michigan | D+0.1 | R+1.4 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+1.3 | R+0.9 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · North Carolina | R+2.2 | R+3.2 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | D+2.1 | D+2.4 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+0.6 | D+0.3 | +0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | R+0.5 | D+0.8 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | D+1.1 | R+0.2 | +1.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 President · Michigan | R+0.6 | R+1.4 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | even | R+0.2 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+0.6 | D+0.3 | +0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | R+1.0 | D+0.8 | -1.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · Nevada | R+0.2 | R+3.1 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+2.5 | R+5.5 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · North Carolina | R+1.9 | R+3.2 | +1.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 Senate · Nevada | D+4.3 | D+1.6 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | D+4.2 | D+2.4 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Georgia | R+2.0 | R+2.2 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-12-04 | 2022 Senate · GA | D+2.1 | D+2.8 | -0.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-06 | 2022 Senate · GA | R+2.0 | D+1.0 | -3.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-06 | 2022 Governor · GA | R+5.0 | R+7.5 | +2.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-05 | 2022 Senate · NH | D+1.8 | D+9.1 | -7.3 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-05 | 2022 Governor · NH | R+15.3 | R+15.5 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · NV | R+6.0 | D+0.8 | -6.8 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · NV | R+5.2 | R+1.5 | -3.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-03 | 2022 Senate · PA | R+2.3 | D+4.9 | -7.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-03 | 2022 Governor · PA | D+7.7 | D+14.8 | -7.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-02 | 2022 Senate · AZ | even | D+4.9 | -4.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-02 | 2022 Governor · AZ | R+3.0 | D+0.7 | -3.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-01 | 2022 Senate · FL | R+6.0 | R+16.4 | +10.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-01 | 2022 Governor · FL | R+10.0 | R+19.4 | +9.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-31 | 2022 Senate · WA | D+1.6 | D+14.5 | -12.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-30 | 2022 Governor · MI | R+0.2 | D+10.5 | -10.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-27 | 2022 Senate · GA | R+2.2 | D+1.0 | -3.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-27 | 2022 Governor · GA | R+8.4 | R+7.5 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-26 | 2022 Senate · PA | R+2.7 | D+4.9 | -7.6 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-26 | 2022 Governor · PA | D+8.4 | D+14.8 | -6.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-24 | 2022 Senate · AZ | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-24 | 2022 Governor · AZ | R+11.0 | D+0.7 | -11.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-23 | 2022 Senate · NH | D+0.5 | D+9.1 | -8.6 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-23 | 2022 Governor · NH | R+16.9 | R+15.5 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-20 | 2022 Senate · NV | R+1.9 | D+0.8 | -2.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-20 | 2022 Governor · NV | R+5.7 | R+1.5 | -4.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-19 | 2022 Senate · PA | D+0.8 | D+4.9 | -4.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-19 | 2022 Governor · PA | D+6.3 | D+14.8 | -8.5 | autopsy |
| 2021-10-29 | 2021 Governor · VA | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2021-01-03 | 2020 Senate · GA | R+0.5 | D+2.1 | -2.6 | autopsy |
| 2021-01-03 | 2020 Senate · GA | R+0.1 | D+1.2 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-12-21 | 2020 Senate · GA | D+1.2 | D+2.1 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-12-21 | 2020 Senate · GA | R+1.9 | D+1.2 | -3.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-11-01 | 2020 President · FL | R+1.2 | R+3.4 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-11-01 | 2020 President · GA | R+2.0 | D+0.2 | -2.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · IA | R+1.7 | R+8.2 | +6.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · MI | D+2.1 | D+2.8 | -0.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · NC | R+4.4 | R+1.3 | -3.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · PA | R+1.3 | D+1.2 | -2.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 Senate · IA | R+5.6 | R+6.6 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-25 | 2020 President · PA | R+2.9 | D+1.2 | -4.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · IA | D+0.5 | R+8.2 | +8.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 Senate · IA | D+4.7 | R+6.6 | +11.3 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 Governor · GA | D+0.9 | R+1.4 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-21 | 2018 Governor · GA | R+0.7 | R+1.4 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2017-06-14 | 2017 House · GA-6 | D+0.3 | R+3.6 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-05 | 2016 President · FL | D+2.0 | R+1.2 | +3.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-02 | 2016 Senate · GA | R+10.8 | R+13.8 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-02 | 2016 President · GA | R+3.8 | R+5.1 | +1.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 Senate · FL | R+3.6 | R+7.7 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 President · FL | D+4.3 | R+1.2 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 Senate · GA | R+9.4 | R+13.8 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 Senate · FL | even | R+7.7 | +7.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · FL | D+4.0 | R+1.2 | +5.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-20 | 2016 President · GA | R+4.0 | R+5.1 | +1.1 | autopsy |
| 2014-11-01 | 2014 Senate · GA | R+3.0 | R+7.7 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2014-11-01 | 2014 Governor · GA | R+3.0 | R+7.9 | +4.9 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-21 | 2014 Senate · GA | D+2.4 | R+7.7 | +10.1 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-21 | 2014 Governor · GA | D+0.1 | R+7.9 | +8.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 President · FL | R+5.0 | D+0.9 | -5.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-24 | 2010 Governor · GA | R+5.8 | R+10.0 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-19 | 2010 Governor · SC | R+14.0 | R+4.5 | -9.5 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-18 | 2010 Governor · GA | R+5.5 | R+10.0 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2010-01-17 | 2010 Senate · MA | R+9.1 | R+4.8 | -4.3 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-30 | 2008 Senate · GA | R+4.0 | R+14.9 | +10.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-23 | 2008 Senate · GA | R+3.0 | R+14.9 | +11.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 President · GA | R+1.0 | R+5.2 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 Senate · GA | R+5.0 | R+2.9 | -2.1 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · MO | R+3.0 | R+0.1 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · NC | even | D+0.3 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-27 | 2008 President · GA | R+1.0 | R+5.2 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-27 | 2008 Senate · GA | R+2.0 | R+2.9 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-26 | 2008 President · CO | D+8.0 | D+9.0 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-26 | 2008 President · PA | D+9.0 | D+10.3 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-23 | 2008 President · GA | D+1.0 | R+5.2 | +6.2 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-23 | 2008 Senate · GA | R+2.0 | R+2.9 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-22 | 2008 President · FL | D+1.0 | D+2.8 | -1.8 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-22 | 2008 President · OH | D+10.0 | D+4.6 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-20 | 2008 President · CO | D+5.0 | D+9.0 | -4.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-19 | 2008 President · NC | D+1.0 | D+0.3 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-19 | 2008 President · NV | even | D+12.5 | -12.5 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-01 | 2006 Governor · GA | R+14.0 | R+19.7 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-30 | 2006 Governor · GA | R+10.0 | R+19.7 | +9.7 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-24 | 2006 Governor · GA | R+17.0 | R+19.7 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-24 | 2006 House · GA-12 | D+3.0 | D+0.6 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-22 | 2006 House · FL-22 | R+1.0 | D+3.8 | -4.8 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-21 | 2006 Governor · GA | R+17.0 | R+19.7 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-18 | 2006 Governor · GA | R+16.0 | R+19.7 | +3.7 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 President · FL | even | R+5.0 | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 Senate · FL | D+1.0 | R+1.1 | +2.1 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-23 | 2004 Senate · FL | R+2.0 | R+1.1 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-20 | 2004 President · FL | even | R+5.0 | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-20 | 2004 Senate · FL | D+7.0 | R+1.1 | +8.1 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-15 | 2004 President · FL | D+4.0 | R+5.0 | +9.0 | autopsy |