Morning Consult
Polls scored
116
47 races, 2016–2024
Lean
4.4 pts toward Democrats
95% range 3.6 to 5.2
Average miss
4.6 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
66%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 President · Florida | R+4.8 | R+13.1 | +8.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 President · Maryland | D+32.4 | D+28.5 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 President · North Carolina | R+1.8 | R+3.2 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 President · Ohio | R+9.2 | R+11.2 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 Senate · Florida | R+3.0 | R+12.8 | +9.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 Senate · Ohio | R+1.0 | R+3.6 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+8.0 | D+0.3 | +7.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | D+2.0 | D+0.8 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024 Governor · North Carolina | D+16.2 | D+14.8 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · US | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Michigan | D+1.0 | R+1.4 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | even | R+1.7 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Texas | R+6.7 | R+13.7 | +7.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+0.6 | R+0.9 | +0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | D+2.9 | R+0.2 | +3.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Texas | R+3.0 | R+8.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Maryland | D+7.6 | D+11.8 | -4.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 President · US | D+3.0 | R+1.5 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+0.1 | R+5.5 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 President · Georgia | R+1.6 | R+2.2 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | D+8.0 | D+2.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · US | D+3.0 | R+1.5 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 President · US | D+3.0 | R+1.5 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-26 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-25 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-24 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-23 | 2024 President · US | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-22 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-21 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · Arizona | even | R+5.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · Georgia | D+1.0 | R+2.2 | +3.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · Michigan | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | +3.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · Nevada | D+1.0 | R+3.1 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · North Carolina | R+3.0 | R+3.2 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | even | R+1.7 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | even | R+0.9 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-19 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-18 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-16 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Arizona | D+1.0 | R+5.5 | +6.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Georgia | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Maryland | D+33.0 | D+28.5 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Michigan | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | +3.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Nevada | D+4.0 | R+3.1 | +7.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · North Carolina | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Ohio | R+7.0 | R+11.2 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | D+1.0 | R+1.7 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Texas | R+4.0 | R+13.7 | +9.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | D+12.0 | D+2.4 | +9.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Senate · Maryland | D+13.0 | D+11.8 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+7.0 | D+0.3 | +6.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Senate · Nevada | D+15.0 | D+1.6 | +13.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Senate · Ohio | R+1.0 | R+3.6 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | D+8.0 | R+0.2 | +8.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Senate · Texas | R+1.0 | R+8.5 | +7.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | D+5.0 | D+0.8 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-15 | 2024 Governor · North Carolina | D+22.0 | D+14.8 | +7.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · US | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | +3.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-27 | 2020 President · US | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · AZ | D+2.3 | D+0.3 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · CO | D+12.9 | D+13.5 | -0.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · FL | D+6.1 | R+3.4 | +9.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · GA | D+2.4 | D+0.2 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · IN | R+11.4 | R+16.1 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · MI | D+7.3 | D+2.8 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · MN | D+9.3 | D+7.1 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · MO | R+9.4 | R+15.4 | +6.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · NC | D+0.7 | R+1.3 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · OH | R+2.6 | R+8.0 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · PA | D+8.7 | D+1.2 | +7.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · SC | R+6.6 | R+11.7 | +5.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · TX | even | R+5.6 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · WI | D+13.3 | D+0.6 | +12.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · AL | R+12.1 | R+20.4 | +8.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+3.5 | D+2.3 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · CO | D+7.9 | D+9.3 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · GA | D+1.0 | R+1.8 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · KY | R+11.3 | R+19.5 | +8.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+5.7 | D+1.7 | +4.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · NC | D+4.9 | R+1.7 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · SC | R+2.2 | R+10.3 | +8.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · TX | R+4.2 | R+9.6 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 President · US | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-21 | 2020 President · US | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · US | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · US | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · AZ | R+1.0 | D+0.3 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · CO | D+16.0 | D+13.5 | +2.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · FL | D+7.0 | R+3.4 | +10.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · GA | even | D+0.2 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · MI | D+8.0 | D+2.8 | +5.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · MN | D+9.0 | D+7.1 | +1.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · NC | D+3.0 | R+1.3 | +4.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · OH | R+2.0 | R+8.0 | +6.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · PA | D+9.0 | D+1.2 | +7.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · SC | R+6.0 | R+11.7 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · TX | D+1.0 | R+5.6 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 President · WI | D+12.0 | D+0.6 | +11.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+4.0 | D+2.3 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 Senate · CO | D+8.0 | D+9.3 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 Senate · GA | R+2.0 | R+1.8 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+6.0 | D+1.7 | +4.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 Senate · NC | D+6.0 | R+1.7 | +7.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 Senate · SC | D+2.0 | R+10.3 | +12.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-15 | 2020 Senate · TX | R+5.0 | R+9.6 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-04 | 2016 President · US | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 President · US | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 President · US | D+5.0 | D+2.2 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 President · US | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · US | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-19 | 2016 President · US | D+6.0 | D+2.2 | +3.8 | autopsy |