Data for Progress
Polls scored
75
62 races, 2019–2024
Lean
2.0 pts toward Democrats
95% range 0.7 to 3.3
Average miss
4.8 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
74%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | +3.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+1.0 | R+5.5 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 President · Nevada | D+2.0 | R+3.1 | +5.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | D+5.0 | D+2.4 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 Senate · Nevada | D+7.0 | D+1.6 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-12-03 | 2022 Senate · GA | D+2.0 | D+2.8 | -0.8 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · AZ | R+1.0 | D+4.9 | -5.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · CO | D+7.0 | D+14.6 | -7.6 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · FL | R+12.0 | R+16.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · GA | R+1.0 | D+1.0 | -2.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · NV | R+2.0 | D+0.8 | -2.8 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · NH | D+3.0 | D+9.1 | -6.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · NC | R+6.0 | R+3.2 | -2.8 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · OH | R+10.0 | R+6.1 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Senate · WI | R+6.0 | R+1.0 | -5.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · AZ | R+4.0 | D+0.7 | -4.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · CO | D+12.0 | D+19.4 | -7.3 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · FL | R+15.0 | R+19.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · GA | R+9.0 | R+7.5 | -1.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · NV | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · NH | R+18.0 | R+15.5 | -2.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · OH | R+24.0 | R+25.0 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-04 | 2022 Governor · WI | R+2.0 | D+3.4 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-03 | 2022 Senate · OR | D+14.0 | D+14.9 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-03 | 2022 Governor · OR | D+4.0 | D+3.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-27 | 2022 Senate · NY | D+17.0 | D+14.0 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-27 | 2022 Governor · NY | D+12.0 | D+7.3 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-23 | 2022 Senate · VT | D+31.0 | D+40.4 | -9.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-23 | 2022 Governor · VT | R+41.0 | R+47.0 | +6.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-23 | 2022 House · VT-1 | D+25.0 | D+34.8 | -9.8 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-21 | 2022 Senate · FL | R+7.0 | R+16.4 | +9.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-21 | 2022 Governor · FL | R+12.0 | R+19.4 | +7.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-18 | 2022 Senate · WI | R+5.0 | R+1.0 | -4.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-18 | 2022 Governor · WI | R+1.0 | D+3.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-08-19 | 2022 House · NY-19 | R+8.0 | D+5.3 | -13.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · AL | R+20.0 | R+25.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · AZ | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · CO | D+12.0 | D+13.5 | -1.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · FL | D+3.0 | R+3.4 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · GA | D+2.0 | D+0.2 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · IA | R+2.0 | R+8.2 | +6.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · KS | R+14.0 | R+14.7 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · MN | D+8.0 | D+7.1 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · MS | R+14.0 | R+16.5 | +2.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · NC | D+2.0 | R+1.3 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · NV | D+7.0 | D+2.4 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · PA | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | +5.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · SC | R+9.0 | R+11.7 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · TX | D+1.0 | R+5.6 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · VA | D+11.0 | D+10.1 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · AL | R+12.0 | R+20.4 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+8.0 | D+2.3 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · CO | D+9.0 | D+9.3 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · GA | D+5.0 | R+1.8 | +6.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · IA | D+4.0 | R+6.6 | +10.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · KS | R+6.0 | R+11.4 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · MN | D+10.0 | D+5.2 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · MS | R+3.0 | R+10.0 | +7.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · NC | D+5.0 | R+1.7 | +6.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · SC | R+3.0 | R+10.3 | +7.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · TX | R+3.0 | R+9.6 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · VA | D+15.0 | D+12.1 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-28 | 2020 President · US | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 President · SC | R+6.0 | R+11.7 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 President · TX | D+1.0 | R+5.6 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 Senate · SC | even | R+10.3 | +10.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 Senate · TX | R+2.0 | R+9.6 | +7.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-20 | 2020 President · US | D+10.2 | D+4.4 | +5.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 President · MI | D+5.0 | D+2.8 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 President · NC | D+4.0 | R+1.3 | +5.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 President · TX | D+1.0 | R+5.6 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+5.0 | D+1.7 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 Senate · NC | D+4.0 | R+1.7 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 Senate · TX | R+3.0 | R+9.6 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2019-11-06 | 2019 Governor · LA | D+0.4 | D+2.7 | -2.3 | autopsy |