American Research Group
Polls scored
87
58 races, 2000–2020
Lean
0.1 pts toward Democrats
95% range -1.3 to 1.6
Average miss
4.2 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
74%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-27 | 2020 President · NH | D+19.0 | D+7.4 | +11.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-27 | 2020 Senate · NH | D+17.0 | D+15.6 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-27 | 2020 Governor · NH | R+5.0 | R+31.8 | +26.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 Governor · NH | R+4.0 | R+2.3 | -1.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 Senate · NH | R+3.0 | D+0.1 | -3.1 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 President · NH | R+5.0 | D+0.4 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-19 | 2016 President · US | D+7.0 | D+2.2 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-28 | 2014 Senate · NH | even | D+3.2 | -3.2 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-28 | 2014 Governor · NH | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-21 | 2014 Senate · NH | D+1.0 | D+3.2 | -2.2 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-21 | 2014 Governor · NH | D+10.0 | D+4.9 | +5.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-03 | 2012 President · US | even | D+3.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-03 | 2012 President · IA | R+1.0 | D+5.8 | -6.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-03 | 2012 President · NH | even | D+5.6 | -5.6 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-27 | 2012 President · US | even | D+3.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-27 | 2012 President · CO | R+1.0 | D+5.4 | -6.4 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 President · OH | D+2.0 | D+3.0 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-21 | 2012 President · NH | R+2.0 | D+5.6 | -7.6 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-21 | 2012 President · NV | D+2.0 | D+6.7 | -4.7 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-20 | 2012 President · US | R+2.0 | D+3.9 | -5.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-01-16 | 2010 Senate · MA | R+7.0 | R+4.8 | -2.2 | autopsy |
| 2010-01-13 | 2010 Senate · MA | R+3.0 | R+4.8 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 President · US | D+8.0 | D+7.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 President · AK | R+12.0 | R+21.5 | +9.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 President · NC | D+1.0 | D+0.3 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 President · NV | D+5.0 | D+12.5 | -7.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 President · VA | D+4.0 | D+6.3 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 President · WV | R+11.0 | R+13.1 | +2.1 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-30 | 2008 President · AR | R+7.0 | R+19.9 | +12.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-30 | 2008 President · FL | D+4.0 | D+2.8 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-30 | 2008 President · IN | even | D+1.0 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-30 | 2008 President · PA | D+6.0 | D+10.3 | -4.3 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · AZ | R+4.0 | R+8.5 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · CO | D+7.0 | D+9.0 | -2.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · MO | even | R+0.1 | +0.1 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · MT | R+3.0 | R+2.3 | -0.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · NH | D+15.0 | D+9.6 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 Governor · NH | D+40.0 | D+42.6 | -2.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 Senate · NH | D+12.0 | D+6.3 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-26 | 2008 President · US | D+5.0 | D+7.4 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-19 | 2008 President · US | D+4.0 | D+7.4 | -3.4 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-31 | 2006 House · NH-2 | R+3.0 | D+7.1 | -10.1 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-19 | 2006 Senate · CT | D+29.0 | D+30.1 | -1.1 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-31 | 2004 President · FL | D+2.0 | R+5.0 | +7.0 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-31 | 2004 President · NH | R+1.0 | D+1.4 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-29 | 2004 President · US | even | R+2.4 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-29 | 2004 President · NH | even | D+1.4 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-29 | 2004 President · NM | D+1.0 | R+0.8 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-29 | 2004 Senate · NH | R+40.0 | R+32.5 | -7.5 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-26 | 2004 President · IA | R+1.0 | R+0.7 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-26 | 2004 President · OR | D+4.0 | D+4.2 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-26 | 2004 President · WI | D+1.0 | D+0.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-24 | 2004 President · FL | D+3.0 | R+5.0 | +8.0 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-24 | 2004 President · OH | D+2.0 | R+2.1 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-24 | 2004 President · PA | D+3.0 | D+2.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-18 | 2004 President · WI | even | D+0.4 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-17 | 2004 President · NH | R+1.0 | D+1.4 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-17 | 2004 President · NM | D+2.0 | R+0.8 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-14 | 2004 House · PA-17 | D+12.0 | D+20.2 | -8.2 | autopsy |
| 2002-11-02 | 2002 Governor · NH | R+15.0 | R+20.4 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-11-02 | 2002 Senate · NH | R+4.0 | R+4.4 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-11-02 | 2002 House · NH-1 | R+11.0 | R+19.6 | +8.6 | autopsy |
| 2002-11-02 | 2002 House · NH-2 | R+22.0 | R+16.0 | -6.0 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-29 | 2002 Governor · NH | R+16.0 | R+20.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-29 | 2002 Senate · NH | R+2.0 | R+4.4 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-29 | 2002 House · NH-1 | R+10.0 | R+19.6 | +9.6 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-29 | 2002 House · NH-2 | R+17.0 | R+16.0 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-21 | 2002 Governor · NH | R+19.0 | R+20.4 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-21 | 2002 Senate · NH | R+2.0 | R+4.4 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-21 | 2002 House · NH-1 | R+14.0 | R+19.6 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-21 | 2002 House · NH-2 | R+19.0 | R+16.0 | -3.0 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-15 | 2002 Governor · NH | R+29.0 | R+20.4 | -8.6 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-15 | 2002 Senate · NH | R+8.0 | R+4.4 | -3.6 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-15 | 2002 House · NH-1 | R+19.0 | R+19.6 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-15 | 2002 House · NH-2 | R+21.0 | R+16.0 | -5.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-02 | 2000 President · MO | D+1.0 | R+3.3 | +4.3 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-02 | 2000 President · NH | R+10.0 | R+1.3 | -8.7 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-01 | 2000 Governor · NH | R+1.0 | D+5.0 | -6.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-31 | 2000 President · FL | D+5.0 | even | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-31 | 2000 President · MI | D+4.0 | D+5.1 | -1.1 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-31 | 2000 President · NH | R+5.0 | R+1.3 | -3.7 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-31 | 2000 President · PA | D+6.0 | D+4.2 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-31 | 2000 President · TN | D+6.0 | R+3.9 | +9.9 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-22 | 2000 President · FL | D+4.0 | even | +4.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-22 | 2000 President · MI | D+3.0 | D+5.1 | -2.1 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-22 | 2000 President · OR | R+4.0 | D+0.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-22 | 2000 President · PA | D+5.0 | D+4.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |