Research & Polling
Polls scored
48
47 races, 1998–2024
Lean
0.6 pts toward Republicans
95% range -2.0 to 0.9
Average miss
4.0 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
90%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-18 | 2024 President · New Mexico | D+9.0 | D+6.0 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-18 | 2024 Senate · New Mexico | D+11.0 | D+10.1 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-18 | 2024 House · New Mexico | D+4.0 | D+4.2 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-18 | 2024 House · New Mexico | D+17.0 | D+12.7 | +4.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-18 | 2024 House · New Mexico | D+17.0 | D+12.6 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-24 | 2022 Governor · NM | D+8.0 | D+6.4 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-24 | 2022 House · NM-1 | D+6.0 | D+11.5 | -5.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-24 | 2022 House · NM-2 | D+2.0 | D+0.7 | +1.3 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-24 | 2022 House · NM-3 | D+18.0 | D+16.3 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 President · NM | D+12.0 | D+10.8 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 Senate · NM | D+8.0 | D+6.1 | +1.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 House · NM-1 | D+21.0 | D+16.4 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 House · NM-2 | R+2.0 | R+7.5 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-26 | 2020 House · NM-3 | D+23.0 | D+17.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 Senate · NM | D+20.0 | D+23.6 | -3.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 Governor · NM | D+10.0 | D+14.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 House · NM-1 | D+12.0 | D+22.8 | -10.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 House · NM-2 | R+1.0 | D+1.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-02 | 2016 President · NM | D+5.0 | D+8.2 | -3.2 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-22 | 2014 Senate · NM | D+7.0 | D+11.1 | -4.1 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-22 | 2014 Governor · NM | R+15.0 | R+14.4 | -0.6 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 President · NM | D+9.0 | D+10.1 | -1.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 Senate · NM | D+8.0 | D+5.7 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 House · NM-1 | D+15.0 | D+18.3 | -3.3 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 House · NM-2 | R+18.0 | R+18.2 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 House · NM-3 | D+18.0 | D+26.3 | -8.2 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-27 | 2010 Governor · NM | R+10.0 | R+6.7 | -3.3 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-27 | 2010 House · NM-1 | R+3.0 | D+3.6 | -6.6 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-27 | 2010 House · NM-2 | R+3.0 | R+10.8 | +7.8 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · NM | D+8.0 | D+15.1 | -7.1 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 Senate · NM | D+14.0 | D+22.7 | -8.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 House · NM-1 | D+4.0 | D+11.3 | -7.3 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 House · NM-2 | D+4.0 | D+11.9 | -7.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 House · NM-3 | D+28.0 | D+26.3 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-01 | 2006 Senate · NM | D+42.0 | D+41.3 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-01 | 2006 House · NM-1 | D+4.0 | R+0.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-01 | 2006 House · NM-2 | R+26.0 | R+18.9 | -7.1 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-01 | 2006 House · NM-3 | D+51.0 | D+49.3 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-18 | 2006 House · NM-1 | D+3.0 | R+0.4 | +3.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-28 | 2004 President · NM | R+3.0 | R+0.8 | -2.2 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-28 | 2004 House · NM-1 | R+8.0 | R+8.9 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-28 | 2004 House · NM-2 | R+12.0 | R+20.4 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-30 | 2002 Governor · NM | D+18.0 | D+16.4 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-30 | 2002 Senate · NM | R+38.0 | R+30.1 | -7.9 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-30 | 2002 House · NM-1 | R+6.0 | R+10.7 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-30 | 2002 House · NM-2 | R+5.0 | R+12.5 | +7.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-01 | 2000 President · NM | R+3.0 | D+0.1 | -3.1 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-18 | 1998 Governor · NM | R+10.0 | R+9.1 | -0.9 | autopsy |