Selzer
Polls scored
34
34 races, 1998–2024
Lean
0.7 pts toward Democrats
95% range -0.8 to 2.5
Average miss
3.1 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
85%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Iowa | D+3.0 | R+13.2 | +16.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-02 | 2022 Senate · IA | R+12.0 | R+12.2 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-02 | 2022 Governor · IA | R+17.0 | R+18.5 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-28 | 2020 President · IA | R+7.0 | R+8.2 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-28 | 2020 Senate · IA | R+4.0 | R+6.6 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-01 | 2018 Governor · IA | D+2.0 | R+2.7 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-05 | 2016 President · US | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 Senate · IA | R+23.0 | R+24.4 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · IA | R+7.0 | R+9.4 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-23 | 2016 Senate · FL | R+10.0 | R+7.7 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-23 | 2016 President · FL | R+2.0 | R+1.2 | -0.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-30 | 2014 Senate · IA | R+7.0 | R+8.3 | +1.3 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-30 | 2014 Governor · IA | R+24.0 | R+21.7 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-01 | 2012 President · IA | D+5.0 | D+5.8 | -0.8 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-28 | 2010 Governor · IA | R+12.0 | R+9.6 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-28 | 2010 Senate · IA | R+31.0 | R+31.0 | +0.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-30 | 2008 President · IA | D+17.0 | D+9.5 | +7.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-30 | 2008 President · MI | D+16.0 | D+16.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-30 | 2008 Senate · IA | D+26.0 | D+25.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-30 | 2008 Senate · MI | D+21.0 | D+28.8 | -7.8 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-27 | 2008 President · IN | D+1.0 | D+1.0 | -0.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-27 | 2008 Governor · IN | R+18.0 | R+17.8 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-02 | 2006 Governor · IA | D+9.0 | D+9.6 | -0.6 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-02 | 2006 House · IA-1 | D+21.0 | D+11.9 | +9.1 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-01 | 2006 Governor · MI | D+13.0 | D+14.1 | -1.1 | autopsy |
| 2006-11-01 | 2006 Senate · MI | D+19.0 | D+15.7 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-17 | 2006 House · IN-7 | R+3.0 | D+7.5 | -10.5 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-28 | 2004 President · IN | R+20.0 | R+20.7 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-28 | 2004 Governor · IN | R+6.0 | R+7.7 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-27 | 2004 President · IA | D+3.0 | R+0.7 | +3.7 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-31 | 2002 Governor · IA | D+12.0 | D+8.2 | +3.8 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-31 | 2002 Senate · IA | D+9.0 | D+10.4 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-01 | 2000 President · IA | D+2.0 | D+0.3 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-29 | 1998 Governor · IA | R+4.0 | D+5.8 | -9.8 | autopsy |