Beacon/Shaw
Polls scored
44
41 races, 2012–2024
Lean
2.5 pts toward Democrats
95% range 1.1 to 4.0
Average miss
4.4 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
71%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | +3.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 President · Michigan | D+4.0 | R+1.4 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 President · North Carolina | D+1.0 | R+3.2 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | D+5.0 | R+0.2 | +5.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+5.0 | D+0.3 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 Governor · North Carolina | D+21.0 | D+14.8 | +6.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Senate · AZ | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Senate · GA | D+1.0 | D+1.0 | +0.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Senate · PA | D+3.0 | D+4.9 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Senate · WI | R+3.0 | R+1.0 | -2.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Governor · AZ | R+1.0 | D+0.7 | -1.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Governor · GA | R+6.0 | R+7.5 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Governor · PA | D+16.0 | D+14.8 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Governor · WI | R+1.0 | D+3.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2021-10-26 | 2021 Governor · VA | R+8.0 | R+1.9 | -6.1 | autopsy |
| 2021-10-12 | 2021 Governor · VA | D+5.0 | R+1.9 | +6.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-28 | 2020 President · US | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | +3.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 President · MI | D+12.0 | D+2.8 | +9.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 President · OH | R+3.0 | R+8.0 | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 President · PA | D+5.0 | D+1.2 | +3.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 President · WI | D+5.0 | D+0.6 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+8.0 | D+1.7 | +6.3 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 Senate · IN | D+7.0 | R+5.9 | +12.9 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 Senate · MO | even | R+5.8 | +5.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 Senate · ND | R+9.0 | R+10.8 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 Senate · TN | R+9.0 | R+10.8 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 Governor · TN | R+17.0 | R+21.0 | +4.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 House · ND-1 | R+22.0 | R+24.6 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 Senate · AZ | even | D+2.3 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 Governor · AZ | R+18.0 | R+14.2 | -3.8 | autopsy |
| 2017-12-09 | 2017 Senate · AL | D+10.0 | D+1.6 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2017-11-04 | 2017 Governor · VA | D+5.0 | D+8.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-05 | 2016 President · US | D+4.0 | D+2.2 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-02 | 2016 President · US | D+2.0 | D+2.2 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-24 | 2016 President · US | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-29 | 2014 Senate · NC | D+1.0 | R+1.6 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-29 | 2014 Senate · IA | R+1.0 | R+8.3 | +7.3 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-29 | 2014 Governor · IA | R+17.0 | R+21.7 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-29 | 2014 Governor · KS | D+6.0 | R+3.7 | +9.7 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-29 | 2014 Governor · OH | R+15.0 | R+30.6 | +15.6 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-29 | 2012 President · US | even | D+3.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-23 | 2012 President · VA | R+2.0 | D+3.9 | -5.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-17 | 2012 President · FL | R+3.0 | D+0.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-17 | 2012 President · OH | D+3.0 | D+3.0 | +0.0 | autopsy |