co/efficient
Polls scored
21
20 races, 2019–2024
Lean
4.5 pts toward Republicans
95% range -6.2 to -3.1
Average miss
5.0 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
68%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-24 | 2024 House · Ohio | R+1.0 | D+2.2 | -3.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-05 | 2022 Senate · CO | D+8.0 | D+14.6 | -6.6 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-05 | 2022 Governor · CO | D+12.0 | D+19.4 | -7.3 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-27 | 2022 Senate · PA | R+3.0 | D+4.9 | -7.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-27 | 2022 Governor · PA | D+10.0 | D+14.8 | -4.8 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-25 | 2022 Senate · NH | even | D+9.1 | -9.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-25 | 2022 Governor · NH | R+18.0 | R+15.5 | -2.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-25 | 2022 House · NH-1 | D+4.0 | D+8.1 | -4.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-25 | 2022 House · NH-2 | R+1.0 | D+11.7 | -12.7 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-24 | 2022 Senate · CO | D+15.5 | D+14.6 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-24 | 2022 Senate · GA | R+3.4 | D+1.0 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-20 | 2022 Senate · AZ | D+1.8 | D+4.9 | -3.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-20 | 2022 Governor · AZ | R+3.3 | D+0.7 | -4.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-19 | 2022 Senate · WA | D+3.0 | D+14.5 | -11.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-18 | 2022 Governor · NY | R+1.0 | D+7.3 | -8.3 | autopsy |
| 2021-10-20 | 2021 Governor · VA | R+4.0 | R+1.9 | -2.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 President · KS | R+17.0 | R+14.7 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 President · VT | D+30.0 | D+35.4 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 Senate · KS | R+12.0 | R+11.4 | -0.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-13 | 2020 House · PA-8 | D+5.0 | D+3.6 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2019-09-05 | 2019 House · NC-9 | even | R+2.0 | +2.0 | autopsy |