Tarrance
Polls scored
27
26 races, 1998–2024
Lean
2.5 pts toward Republicans
95% range -4.5 to -0.6
Average miss
4.4 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
84%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | R+2.0 | D+0.3 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-25 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+1.3 | D+1.7 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-14 | 2020 House · PA-10 | R+4.0 | R+6.6 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-21 | 2018 Senate · MI | D+7.0 | D+6.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-22 | 2014 Governor · HI | D+3.0 | D+12.4 | -9.4 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-19 | 2014 House · KS-2 | R+12.0 | R+18.4 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-16 | 2014 Governor · HI | D+2.0 | D+12.4 | -10.4 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-15 | 2014 Governor · AZ | R+7.0 | R+11.8 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-17 | 2012 House · CA-52 | R+4.0 | D+2.4 | -6.4 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-19 | 2010 House · NM-2 | R+9.0 | R+10.8 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-18 | 2010 Senate · CA | even | D+10.0 | -10.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-18 | 2010 House · IA-2 | R+1.0 | D+5.1 | -6.1 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-18 | 2010 House · MS-4 | R+2.0 | R+5.1 | +3.1 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-18 | 2010 House · TN-8 | R+15.0 | R+20.2 | +5.2 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Governor · CA | even | D+12.9 | -12.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-22 | 2008 House · IA-4 | R+22.0 | R+21.1 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-15 | 2008 House · FL-16 | R+26.0 | R+20.2 | -5.8 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-26 | 2004 Senate · WI | D+5.0 | D+11.2 | -6.2 | autopsy |
| 2002-11-03 | 2002 Senate · CO | R+6.0 | R+4.9 | -1.1 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-30 | 2002 House · CO-7 | R+2.0 | R+0.1 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-29 | 2002 House · NH-2 | R+15.0 | R+16.0 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-28 | 2002 Governor · CA | D+3.0 | D+4.9 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-23 | 2002 House · UT-2 | D+1.0 | D+0.7 | +0.3 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-22 | 2002 House · GA-12 | R+15.0 | R+10.4 | -4.6 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-01 | 2000 Senate · MN | D+1.0 | D+5.5 | -4.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-31 | 2000 Senate · NJ | R+4.0 | D+3.0 | -7.0 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-25 | 1998 Governor · FL | R+12.0 | R+10.5 | -1.5 | autopsy |