McLaughlin
Polls scored
28
21 races, 2000–2024
Lean
3.6 pts toward Republicans
95% range -7.7 to 0.1
Average miss
7.1 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
71%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 House · New York | even | D+9.1 | -9.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-23 | 2022 Governor · CT | D+6.0 | D+11.4 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-28 | 2016 President · NY | D+11.0 | D+24.0 | -13.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-19 | 2016 Senate · WI | D+2.0 | R+3.4 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-19 | 2016 President · WI | D+5.0 | R+0.8 | +5.8 | autopsy |
| 2013-06-18 | 2013 Senate · MA | D+3.0 | D+10.2 | -7.2 | autopsy |
| 2013-06-11 | 2013 Senate · MA | D+6.0 | D+10.2 | -4.2 | autopsy |
| 2013-06-04 | 2013 Senate · MA | D+1.0 | D+10.2 | -9.2 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-31 | 2012 President · IN | R+13.0 | R+10.2 | -2.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-31 | 2012 Governor · IN | R+12.0 | R+2.9 | -9.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-31 | 2012 Senate · IN | R+2.0 | D+5.8 | -7.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-29 | 2012 President · IN | R+18.0 | R+10.2 | -7.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-29 | 2012 Senate · IN | R+1.0 | D+5.8 | -6.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 President · IN | R+14.0 | R+10.2 | -3.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 Senate · IN | even | D+5.8 | -5.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-17 | 2012 House · NY-6 | D+3.0 | D+32.9 | -29.9 | autopsy |
| 2011-08-31 | 2011 House · NY-9 | even | R+1.7 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-20 | 2010 Governor · CA | D+3.0 | D+12.9 | -9.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-22 | 2008 House · LA-6 | D+2.0 | R+7.8 | +9.8 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-15 | 2008 House · LA-6 | D+11.0 | R+7.8 | +18.8 | autopsy |
| 2008-03-01 | 2008 House · IL-14 | R+2.0 | D+5.1 | -7.1 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 Senate · AK | R+5.0 | R+3.0 | -2.0 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-27 | 2004 Senate · SC | R+8.0 | R+9.6 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-23 | 2004 President · SD | R+22.0 | R+21.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-23 | 2004 Senate · SD | R+4.0 | R+1.2 | -2.8 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-16 | 2002 Governor · FL | R+8.0 | R+12.9 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-17 | 2000 President · FL | R+1.0 | even | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-17 | 2000 Senate · FL | even | D+4.9 | -4.9 | autopsy |