OnMessage Inc.
Polls scored
28
23 races, 2003–2024
Lean
2.3 pts toward Republicans
95% range -5.0 to -0.6
Average miss
3.4 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
83%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Michigan | even | R+1.4 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+3.0 | R+5.5 | +2.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | even | R+0.2 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+1.0 | D+0.3 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | D+1.0 | D+0.8 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | even | D+2.4 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 President · US | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-23 | 2024 President · US | R+1.0 | R+1.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-22 | 2024 President · Nevada | R+3.0 | R+3.1 | +0.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-22 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-22 | 2024 Senate · Nevada | even | D+1.6 | -1.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-22 | 2024 Senate · Ohio | R+2.0 | R+3.6 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-22 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | R+1.0 | D+0.8 | -1.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-16 | 2024 President · US | R+1.0 | R+1.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-17 | 2018 Senate · MO | R+7.0 | R+5.8 | -1.2 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-16 | 2018 Senate · FL | R+5.0 | R+0.1 | -4.9 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-16 | 2018 Governor · FL | R+3.0 | R+0.4 | -2.6 | autopsy |
| 2013-06-16 | 2013 Senate · MA | D+7.0 | D+10.2 | -3.2 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-25 | 2012 House · OH-16 | R+10.0 | R+4.1 | -5.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 House · MN-8 | R+10.0 | D+8.9 | -18.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 House · RI-1 | R+6.0 | D+12.1 | -18.1 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-19 | 2010 House · TX-23 | R+6.0 | R+5.0 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-13 | 2010 House · AR-2 | R+12.0 | R+19.6 | +7.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-28 | 2008 Senate · LA | D+1.0 | D+6.4 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-15 | 2008 Senate · LA | D+5.0 | D+6.4 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2003-11-11 | 2003 Governor · LA | R+7.0 | D+3.9 | -10.9 | autopsy |