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Impact Research

Polls scored
18
16 races, 2004–2024
Lean
4.3 pts toward Democrats
95% range 2.0 to 6.5
Average miss
5.5 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
59%

Every scored poll

Fieldwork endedRacePollResultMissWorkings
2024-10-172024 House · MontanaR+1.0R+7.7+6.7autopsy
2020-10-182020 House · AR-2evenR+10.7+10.7autopsy
2018-10-272018 House · FL-27D+10.0D+6.0+4.0autopsy
2018-10-182018 Governor · MID+11.0D+9.6+1.4autopsy
2012-10-242012 Senate · IND+7.0D+5.8+1.2autopsy
2012-10-202012 House · FL-22D+10.0D+9.3+0.7autopsy
2012-10-202012 House · IL-13D+9.0R+0.3+9.3autopsy
2012-10-192012 Senate · AZD+4.0R+3.0+7.0autopsy
2012-10-172012 House · IL-8D+15.0D+9.5+5.5autopsy
2010-10-272010 Senate · ILD+2.0R+1.6+3.6autopsy
2010-10-222010 Senate · ILD+2.0R+1.6+3.6autopsy
2010-10-152010 Senate · ILD+5.0R+1.6+6.6autopsy
2010-10-122010 House · AR-1D+2.0R+8.3+10.3autopsy
2010-04-282010 House · PA-12D+2.0D+7.7-5.7autopsy
2008-10-142008 House · NE-2R+1.0R+3.9+2.9autopsy
2008-10-142008 President · N2R+4.0D+1.2-5.2autopsy
2006-10-222006 House · FL-22D+6.0D+3.8+2.2autopsy
2004-10-202004 House · UT-2D+23.0D+11.5+11.5autopsy