Ward Research
Polls scored
15
14 races, 1998–2014
Lean
1.4 pts toward Republicans
95% range -4.8 to 2.1
Average miss
5.8 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
85%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-15 | 2014 Senate · HI | D+51.0 | D+42.1 | +8.9 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-15 | 2014 Governor · HI | D+12.0 | D+12.4 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-15 | 2014 House · HI-1 | even | D+3.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-19 | 2012 Senate · HI | D+22.0 | D+25.2 | -3.2 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-19 | 2012 House · HI-1 | D+11.0 | D+9.2 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-19 | 2012 House · HI-2 | D+65.0 | D+61.1 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-16 | 2010 Governor · HI | D+8.0 | D+17.1 | -9.1 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-16 | 2010 House · HI-1 | R+3.0 | D+6.5 | -9.5 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-16 | 2010 House · HI-2 | D+61.0 | D+46.9 | +14.1 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-15 | 2004 President · HI | even | D+8.7 | -8.7 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-28 | 2002 Governor · HI | R+1.0 | R+4.5 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-21 | 2002 Governor · HI | R+4.0 | R+4.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-21 | 2000 President · HI | D+19.0 | D+18.3 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-22 | 1998 Governor · HI | R+8.0 | D+1.3 | -9.3 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-22 | 1998 House · HI-1 | D+15.0 | D+25.2 | -10.2 | autopsy |