FM3 Research
Polls scored
10
9 races, 1998–2022
Lean
8.3 pts toward Democrats
95% range 2.9 to 13.0
Average miss
8.8 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
67%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-25 | 2022 Governor · OR | D+2.0 | D+3.4 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-13 | 2020 Senate · AL | D+1.0 | R+20.4 | +21.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-20 | 2004 President · CO | even | R+4.7 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-20 | 2004 Senate · CO | D+5.0 | D+4.8 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-20 | 2004 House · CO-3 | D+17.0 | D+4.0 | +13.0 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-18 | 2002 Governor · TX | R+3.0 | R+17.8 | +14.8 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-18 | 2002 Senate · TX | D+1.0 | R+12.0 | +13.0 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-15 | 2002 Senate · TX | D+2.0 | R+12.0 | +14.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-23 | 2000 House · CA-20 | D+11.0 | D+6.9 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-21 | 1998 Senate · WI | D+1.0 | D+2.1 | -1.1 | autopsy |