Data Orbital
Polls scored
17
9 races, 2016–2024
Lean
0.1 pts toward Democrats
95% range -1.5 to 1.6
Average miss
2.6 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
82%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+7.8 | R+5.5 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | R+0.7 | D+2.4 | -3.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-05 | 2022 Senate · AZ | D+1.7 | D+4.9 | -3.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-05 | 2022 Governor · AZ | R+3.1 | D+0.7 | -3.8 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-18 | 2022 Governor · AZ | R+2.5 | D+0.7 | -3.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · AZ | D+0.6 | D+0.3 | +0.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+1.1 | D+2.3 | -1.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 President · AZ | D+5.2 | D+0.3 | +4.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+6.2 | D+2.3 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-16 | 2018 Senate · AZ | D+8.2 | D+2.3 | +5.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-05 | 2016 Senate · AZ | R+12.0 | R+13.0 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-05 | 2016 President · AZ | R+3.0 | R+3.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 Senate · AZ | R+11.0 | R+13.0 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 President · AZ | R+8.0 | R+3.5 | -4.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 Senate · AZ | R+10.0 | R+13.0 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 President · AZ | R+4.0 | R+3.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-26 | 2016 President · AZ | R+2.0 | R+3.5 | +1.5 | autopsy |