Clarity
Polls scored
13
12 races, 2012–2024
Lean
3.6 pts toward Democrats
95% range 2.3 to 4.6
Average miss
3.6 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
42%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-23 | 2024 President · US | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-29 | 2022 Senate · WI | D+2.0 | R+1.0 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 Senate · PA | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-03 | 2016 President · PA | D+4.0 | R+0.7 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 Senate · MO | R+2.0 | R+2.8 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 Senate · WI | D+3.0 | R+3.4 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 President · MO | R+16.0 | R+18.6 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-01 | 2016 President · WI | D+4.0 | R+0.8 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-11-01 | 2014 Governor · MI | even | R+4.1 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-19 | 2014 Senate · MI | D+15.0 | D+13.3 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-19 | 2014 Governor · MI | D+3.0 | R+4.1 | +7.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-25 | 2012 Governor · IN | R+3.0 | R+2.9 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-25 | 2012 Senate · IN | D+7.0 | D+5.8 | +1.2 | autopsy |