How to read these numbers
Each pollster's latest poll whose fieldwork ended in the last 21 days, as of 2026-10-24. Polling averages, not forecasts.
Colours use the corrected average, which did not pass its test. Use the plain average
Margin of error on: the ± figures are 95% sampling error only; real misses have averaged 4–6 points. Turn it off
Sources: Polls: PollingForecast feed, captured 2026-10-24; figures from Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0.