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Texas 2024 polls and results

U.S. Senate

Photo of Ted Cruz
RTed Cruz
49.0%won
average of 9 polls · result 53.0%
Photo of Colin Allred
DColin Allred
45.7%
average of 9 polls · result 44.6%

Difference: 3.3 points Also: Ted Brown (L) 3.3%

Photos: Ted Cruz, U.S. Senate Photographic Studio, Public domain; Colin Allred, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+3.3, corrected R+4.8 (±2.2) · 9 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04

Result: Ted Cruz (R) 53.0% ✓, Colin Allred (D) 44.6%, Ted Brown (L) 2.4% · R+8.5. The plain poll average missed by 5.2 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
AtlasIntel2024-11-01 to 2024-11-042,434 LVTed Cruz (R) 52.5; Colin Allred (D) 45.5R+7.03.9
Cygnal2024-10-26 to 2024-10-28600 LVTed Cruz (R) 49; Colin Allred (D) 45; Ted Brown (L) 3R+4.07.8
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-23 to 2024-10-261,180 RVTed Cruz (R) 49; Colin Allred (D) 46R+3.05.6
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-23 to 2024-10-261,180 LVTed Cruz (R) 50; Colin Allred (D) 46R+4.05.6
Morning Consult2024-10-22 to 2024-10-312,120 LVTed Cruz (R) 47.4; Colin Allred (D) 44.4R+3.04.1
ActiVote2024-10-21 to 2024-10-27400 LVTed Cruz (R) 52.4; Colin Allred (D) 47.6R+4.89.8
GBAO(DEM-aligned)2024-10-18 to 2024-10-23800 LVColin Allred (D) 46; Ted Cruz (R) 46; Ted Brown (L) 4Tied6.7
Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar2024-10-18 to 2024-10-21815 LVTed Cruz (R) 48.3; Colin Allred (D) 46.8R+1.56.7
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research2024-10-14 to 2024-10-21956 LVTed Cruz (R) 47; Colin Allred (D) 45; Ted Brown (L) 3R+2.06.1
YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government2024-10-07 to 2024-10-171,108 RVTed Cruz (R) 49; Colin Allred (D) 45R+4.05.7
Morning Consult2024-10-06 to 2024-10-152,048 LVTed Cruz (R) 46; Colin Allred (D) 45R+1.04.1
ActiVote2024-10-01 to 2024-10-16400 LVTed Cruz (R) 52.8; Colin Allred (D) 47.2R+5.69.8