U.S. Senate

RTed Cruz
49.0%won
average of 9 polls · result 53.0%

DColin Allred
45.7%
average of 9 polls · result 44.6%
Difference: 3.3 points Also: Ted Brown (L) 3.3%
Photos: Ted Cruz, U.S. Senate Photographic Studio, Public domain; Colin Allred, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+3.3, corrected R+4.8 · 9 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04
Result: Ted Cruz (R) 53.0% ✓, Colin Allred (D) 44.6%, Ted Brown (L) 2.4% · R+8.5. The plain poll average missed by 5.2 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-04 | 2,434 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 52.5; Colin Allred (D) 45.5 | R+7.0 |
| Cygnal | 2024-10-26 to 2024-10-28 | 600 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 49; Colin Allred (D) 45; Ted Brown (L) 3 | R+4.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 | 1,180 RV | Ted Cruz (R) 49; Colin Allred (D) 46 | R+3.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 | 1,180 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 50; Colin Allred (D) 46 | R+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-22 to 2024-10-31 | 2,120 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 47.4; Colin Allred (D) 44.4 | R+3.0 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-27 | 400 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 52.4; Colin Allred (D) 47.6 | R+4.8 |
| GBAO(DEM-aligned) | 2024-10-18 to 2024-10-23 | 800 LV | Colin Allred (D) 46; Ted Cruz (R) 46; Ted Brown (L) 4 | Tied |
| Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar | 2024-10-18 to 2024-10-21 | 815 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 48.3; Colin Allred (D) 46.8 | R+1.5 |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | 2024-10-14 to 2024-10-21 | 956 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 47; Colin Allred (D) 45; Ted Brown (L) 3 | R+2.0 |
| YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government | 2024-10-07 to 2024-10-17 | 1,108 RV | Ted Cruz (R) 49; Colin Allred (D) 45 | R+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15 | 2,048 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 46; Colin Allred (D) 45 | R+1.0 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-16 | 400 LV | Ted Cruz (R) 52.8; Colin Allred (D) 47.2 | R+5.6 |