President


Difference: 7.4 points Also: Jill Stein (G) 1.1%, Chase Oliver (L) 0.6%
Photos: Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Jill Stein, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+7.4, corrected R+9.1 · 9 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04
Result: Donald Trump (R) 56.1% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 42.5%, Jill Stein (G) 0.7% · R+13.7. The plain poll average missed by 6.3 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-04 | 2,434 LV | Donald Trump (R) 53.7; Kamala Harris (D) 44; Jill Stein (G) 1.3; Chase Oliver (L) 0.2 | R+9.7 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-04 | 2,434 LV | Donald Trump (R) 54.5; Kamala Harris (D) 43.9 | R+10.6 |
| Cygnal | 2024-10-26 to 2024-10-28 | 600 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 43 | R+8.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 | 1,180 RV | Donald Trump (R) 52; Kamala Harris (D) 41 | R+11.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 | 1,180 RV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 40; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 2 | R+10.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 | 1,180 LV | Donald Trump (R) 52; Kamala Harris (D) 42 | R+10.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 | 1,180 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 40; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | R+11.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-22 to 2024-10-31 | 2,120 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51.7; Kamala Harris (D) 45 | R+6.7 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-27 | 400 LV | Donald Trump (R) 55; Kamala Harris (D) 45 | R+10.0 |
| Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar | 2024-10-18 to 2024-10-21 | 815 LV | Donald Trump (R) 53.1; Kamala Harris (D) 45.9 | R+7.2 |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | 2024-10-14 to 2024-10-21 | 956 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | R+5.0 |
| YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government | 2024-10-07 to 2024-10-17 | 1,108 RV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 45 | R+5.0 |
| YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government | 2024-10-07 to 2024-10-17 | 1,075 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 46 | R+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15 | 2,048 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 46 | R+4.0 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 6,526 A | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+4.0 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 6,473 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+4.0 |
| ActiVote | 2024-09-26 to 2024-10-16 | 400 LV | Donald Trump (R) 55.8; Kamala Harris (D) 44.2 | R+11.6 |