Difference: 9.0 points
Photos: Steve Toth, CharlesShirley, CC BY-SA 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+9.0, corrected R+9.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-04
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research(D-aligned) | 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-04 | 501 LV | Steve Toth (R) 46; Shaun Finnie (D) 37; Undecided (UND) 16 | R+9.0 |
Difference: 6.0 points
Plain average R+6.0, corrected R+6.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-07
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Houston / Texas Southern University | 2026-10-03 to 2026-10-07 | 677 LV | Leticia Gutierrez (D) 42; Alex Mealer (R) 48; Undecided (UND) 10 | R+6.0 |
Difference: 7.0 points
Photos: Bobby Pulido, Kim-bodia, CC BY 2.0; Monica De La Cruz, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+7.0, corrected D+7.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-16
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Southern University for San Antonio Express-News, El País, Puente News Collaborative | 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-16 | — | Bobby Pulido (D) 51; Monica De La Cruz (R) 44; Undecided (UND) 5 | D+7.0 |
Difference: 0.0 points
Photos: Brandon Herrera, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average Tied, corrected Tied · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-07tied
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normington Petts for House Majority PAC(D-aligned) | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07 | 400 LV | Brandon Herrera (R) 46; Katy Padilla Stout (D) 46; Undecided (UND) 8 | Tied |
Difference: 20.0 points
Photos: Henry Cuellar, Unknown authorUnknown author, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+20.0, corrected D+20.0 · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-13
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC | 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-13 | 536 LV | Henry Cuellar (D) 54; Tano Tijerina (R) 34; (OTH) 12 | D+20.0 |
| DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department(D-aligned) | 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-13 | 563 LV | Henry Cuellar (D) 54; Tano Tijerina (R) 34; Undecided (UND) 12 | D+20.0 |
Difference: 7.0 points
Photos: Vicente Gonzalez, Kristie Boyd; U.S. House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+7.0, corrected D+7.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-19
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post for Schar School | 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-19 | 626 LV | Vicente Gonzalez (D) 50; Eric Flores (R) 43; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 4 | D+7.0 |
Difference: 1.0 points
Plain average D+1.0, corrected D+1.4 · 3 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-19
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post for Schar School | 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-19 | 606 LV | Carlos De La Cruz (R) 48; Johnny Garcia (D) 47; Undecided (UND) 5 | R+1.0 |
| Normington Petts for House Majority PAC(D-aligned) | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 400 LV | Johnny Garcia (D) 47; Carlos De La Cruz (R) 45; Undecided (UND) 8 | D+2.0 |
| Emerson College for Poll Vault | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 417 LV | Johnny Garcia (D) 51; Carlos De La Cruz (R) 49 | D+2.0 |
