Governor
RGreg Abbott
48.9%
average of 14 polls
DGina Hinojosa
46.7%
average of 14 polls
Difference: 2.2 points
Photos: Greg Abbott, NASA Johnson Space Center / NASA-JSC/ROBERT MARKOWITZ, Public domain; Gina Hinojosa, LBJ Library from Austin, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+2.2, corrected R+2.1 (±2.0) · 14 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-21
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | 2026-10-17 to 2026-10-21 | 400 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 52.5; Gina Hinojosa (D) 47.5 | R+5.0 | 9.8 |
| Emerson College | 2026-10-17 to 2026-10-19 | 1,000 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 49; Gina Hinojosa (D) 45; Pat Dixon (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 4 | R+4.0 | 6.0 |
| Beacon Research/ Shaw & Co. Research for Shaw & Co. Research (R) | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-19 | 1,398 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 52; Gina Hinojosa (D) 47; Undecided (UND) 1 | R+5.0 | 5.2 |
| Pollfinity Research | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-18 | 278 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 45; Gina Hinojosa (D) 46; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 7 | D+1.0 | 11.2 |
| Texas Public Opinion Research | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-18 | 969 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 51; Gina Hinojosa (D) 48 | R+3.0 | 6.3 |
| University of Houston / Texas Southern University | 2026-10-10 to 2026-10-14 | 2,000 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 49; Gina Hinojosa (D) 46; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 3 | R+3.0 | 4.3 |
| New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group for The Cook Political Report | 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-13 | 934 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 48; Gina Hinojosa (D) 46; Undecided (UND) 6 | R+2.0 | 6.2 |
| YouGov for YouGov | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-16 | 1,492 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 52; Gina Hinojosa (D) 48 | R+4.0 | 5.1 |
| Marist College | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-11 | — | Gina Hinojosa (D) 45; Greg Abbott (R) 49; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 3 | R+4.0 | — |
| Siena College for Siena University | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-08 | 617 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 48; Gina Hinojosa (D) 47; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 3 | R+1.0 | 7.7 |
| GBAO | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-08 | 800 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 45; Gina Hinojosa (D) 47; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 4 | D+2.0 | 6.7 |
| VoteHub/Verasight | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-20 | 601 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 47.7; Gina Hinojosa (D) 46.4; Other (OTH) 0.7; Undecided (UND) 5.2 | R+1.3 | 7.8 |
| Verasight for VoteHub | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-20 | 509 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 48; Gina Hinojosa (D) 46; Pat Dixon (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 5 | R+2.0 | 8.4 |
| ActiVote | 2026-09-30 to 2026-10-14 | 400 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 51; Gina Hinojosa (D) 49 | R+2.0 | 9.8 |
| YouGov(R-aligned) | 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-05 | 3,625 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 47; Gina Hinojosa (D) 48; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 5 | D+1.0 | 3.2 |
| University of Texas /Texas Politics Project for Texas Politics Project | 2026-09-25 to 2026-10-05 | 861 LV | Greg Abbott (R) 48; Gina Hinojosa (D) 49; Other (OTH) 3 | D+1.0 | 6.6 |