Governor

RLarry Rhoden
54.7%
average of 3 polls
DDan Ahlers
38.3%
average of 3 polls
Difference: 16.4 points
Photos: Larry Rhoden, U.S. Embassy Jerusalem, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+16.3, corrected R+15.7 (±4.7) · 3 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-20
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College for KELO-TV | 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-20 | 803 LV | Larry Rhoden (R) 60; Dan Ahlers (D) 41 | R+19.0 | 6.8 |
| Mason-Dixon | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 500 LV | Larry Rhoden (R) 56; Dan Ahlers (D) 36; Undecided (UND) 8 | R+20.0 | 8.2 |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners(D-aligned) | 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-08 | 400 LV | Larry Rhoden (R) 48; Dan Ahlers (D) 38; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 10 | R+10.0 | 9.0 |