How to read these numbers
Each pollster's latest poll whose fieldwork ended in the final 21 days before election day (2024-11-05), next to how each race came out. Polling averages, not forecasts.
Colours use the corrected average, which did not pass its test. Use the plain average
Margin of error off. Turn it on
Sources: Polls: ABC News / 538 poll pages, archived 2025-03-06; Results: ABC News / 538 election-results files (fivethirtyeight/election-results).