South Carolina 2026 polls

DNancy Lacore

47.5%

average of 2 polls

RJenny Costa Honeycutt

45.0%

average of 2 polls

Difference: 2.5 points

Photos: Nancy Lacore, U.S. Navy, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+2.5, corrected D+1.7 · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-22

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin
Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC(D-aligned)	2026-10-21 to 2026-10-22	770 LV	Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 45; Nancy Lacore (D) 47; Undecided (UND) 8	D+2.0
GQR	2026-09-30 to 2026-10-04	400 LV	Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 45; Nancy Lacore (D) 48; (OTH) 7	D+3.0

Predicted R+9.4: the 2024 result (R+19.3) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 64% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

Predicted R+36.4: the 2024 result (R+46.4) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

Predicted R+12.6: the 2024 result (R+22.5) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

Predicted R+17.3: the 2024 result (R+27.2) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

Predicted D+32.7: the 2024 result (D+22.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

Predicted R+20.0: the 2024 result (R+29.9) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).