Difference: 12.8 points
Photos: Brian Fitzpatrick, Kristie Boyd; U.S. House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 56.4% ✓, Ashley Ehasz (D) 43.6% · R+12.8.
Difference: 42.9 points
Photos: Brendan F. Boyle, Eric Connolly, U.S. House Office of Photography/House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Brendan F. Boyle (D) 71.5% ✓, Aaron Bashir (R) 28.5% · D+42.9.
Photos: Dwight Evans, Dwight Evans for Mayor, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Dwight Evans (D) 100.0% ✓ (unopposed).
Difference: 18.1 points
Photos: Madeleine Dean, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Madeleine Dean (D) 59.1% ✓, David Winkler (R) 40.9% · D+18.1.
Difference: 30.6 points
Photos: Mary Gay Scanlon, U.S. House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Mary Gay Scanlon (D) 65.3% ✓, Alfeia Goodwin (R) 34.7% · D+30.6.
Difference: 12.4 points
Photos: Chrissy Houlahan, Franmarie Metzler, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Chrissy Houlahan (D) 56.2% ✓, Neil Young (R) 43.8% · D+12.4.
Difference: 1.0 points
Photos: Ryan E. Mackenzie, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work); Susan Wild, U.S. House Office of Photography/House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Ryan E. Mackenzie (R) 50.5% ✓, Susan Wild (D) 49.5% · R+1.0.
Difference: 7.0 points
Photos: Matt Cartwright, United States Congress, Public domain; Rob Bresnahan Jr., House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+7.0, corrected D+7.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-25
Result: Rob Bresnahan Jr. (R) 50.8% ✓, Matt Cartwright (D) 49.2% · R+1.6. The plain poll average missed by 8.6 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights for Inside Elections | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-25 | 406 LV | Matt Cartwright (D) 50; Rob Bresnahan Jr. (R) 43 | D+7.0 |
Difference: 41.0 points
Photos: Dan Meuser, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Dan Meuser (R) 70.5% ✓, Amanda Waldman (D) 29.5% · R+41.0.
Difference: 1.3 points
Photos: Scott Perry, United States Congress, Public domain; Janelle Stelson, James Newton / jnewt-maps on Bluesky, CC BY-SA 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Scott Perry (R) 50.6% ✓, Janelle Stelson (D) 49.4% · R+1.3.
Difference: 25.8 points
Photos: Lloyd K. Smucker, Wikimedia Commons, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Lloyd K. Smucker (R) 62.9% ✓, Jim Atkinson (D) 37.1% · R+25.8.
Difference: 12.8 points
Photos: Summer Lee, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Summer Lee (D) 56.4% ✓, James Hayes (R) 43.6% · D+12.8.
Difference: 48.4 points
Photos: John Joyce, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: John Joyce (R) 74.2% ✓, Beth Farnham (D) 25.8% · R+48.4.
Difference: 33.1 points
Photos: Guy Reschenthaler, US Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Guy Reschenthaler (R) 66.6% ✓, Chris Dziados (D) 33.4% · R+33.1.
Difference: 42.9 points
Photos: Glenn "G.T." Thompson, U. S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Glenn "G.T." Thompson (R) 71.5% ✓, Zach Womer (D) 28.5% · R+42.9.
Difference: 27.3 points
Photos: Mike Kelly, US House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Mike Kelly (R) 63.6% ✓, Preston Nouri (D) 36.4% · R+27.3.
Difference: 7.8 points
Photos: Chris Deluzio, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Chris Deluzio (D) 53.9% ✓, Rob Mercuri (R) 46.1% · D+7.8.
