District 1
Plain average Tied, corrected R+1.9 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-08tied
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|
| Global Strategy Group(D-aligned) | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-08 | 1,032 LV | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 46; Bob Harvie (D) 46; Undecided (UND) 8 | Tied |
District 2 no polls
Predicted D+52.8: the 2024 result (D+42.9) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 4 no polls
Predicted D+28.1: the 2024 result (D+18.1) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 5 no polls
Predicted D+40.5: the 2024 result (D+30.6) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 6 no polls
Predicted D+22.3: the 2024 result (D+12.4) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 7 no polls
Predicted D+8.9: the 2024 result (R+1.0) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 64% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 8
Plain average D+4.0, corrected D+5.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-14
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|
| Emerson College for Poll Vault | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 396 LV | Paige Cognetti (D) 52; Rob Bresnahan (R) 48 | D+4.0 |
District 9 no polls
Predicted R+31.1: the 2024 result (R+41.0) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 10
Plain average D+3.0, corrected D+0.3 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-11
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research(R-aligned) | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11 | 300 LV | Scott Perry (R) 46; Janelle Stelson (D) 49; Undecided (UND) 5 | D+3.0 |
District 11 no polls
Predicted R+15.9: the 2024 result (R+25.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 12 no polls
Predicted D+22.7: the 2024 result (D+12.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 13 no polls
Predicted R+38.5: the 2024 result (R+48.4) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 14 no polls
Predicted R+23.2: the 2024 result (R+33.1) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 15 no polls
Predicted R+33.0: the 2024 result (R+42.9) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 16 no polls
Predicted R+17.4: the 2024 result (R+27.3) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 17 no polls
Predicted D+17.7: the 2024 result (D+7.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
