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Nevada 2024 polls and results

President

Photo of Kamala Harris
DKamala Harris
48.1%
average of 16 polls · result 47.5%
Photo of Donald Trump
RDonald Trump
47.8%won
average of 16 polls · result 50.6%

Difference: 0.3 points Also: Chase Oliver (L) 0.6%, Joel Skousen (CON) 0.0%

Photos: Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Joel Skousen, Gutter Fighting Secrets, CC BY 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+0.3, corrected R+0.8 (±1.8) · 16 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04within the margin of error

Result: Donald Trump (R) 50.6% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 47.5% · R+3.1. The plain poll average missed by 3.4 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
AtlasIntel2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04707 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.1R+3.17.3
AtlasIntel2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04707 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.2R+3.07.3
Patriot Polling2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03792 RVDonald Trump (R) 49.5; Kamala Harris (D) 49.4R+0.16.9
AtlasIntel2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02782 LVDonald Trump (R) 51.4; Kamala Harris (D) 45.9R+5.56.9
AtlasIntel2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02782 LVDonald Trump (R) 51.5; Kamala Harris (D) 46R+5.56.9
Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02840 LVDonald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48.9R+0.16.7
AtlasIntel2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31845 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.5; Kamala Harris (D) 46.9R+3.66.7
AtlasIntel2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31845 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.6; Kamala Harris (D) 47R+3.66.7
Emerson College for RealClearWorld2024-10-29 to 2024-10-31700 LVKamala Harris (D) 48.6; Donald Trump (R) 48.3D+0.37.3
Susquehanna Polling & Research2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31400 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.2; Kamala Harris (D) 44.2R+6.09.5
Noble Predictive Insights2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31593 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 0; Joel Skousen (CON) 0D+1.07.9
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31790 RVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 49D+1.06.9
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31773 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 49D+1.07.0
Data for Progress2024-10-25 to 2024-10-30721 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Joel Skousen (CON) 0D+2.07.2
AtlasIntel2024-10-25 to 2024-10-291,083 LVDonald Trump (R) 48.4; Kamala Harris (D) 47.5R+0.95.8
AtlasIntel2024-10-25 to 2024-10-291,083 LVDonald Trump (R) 48.5; Kamala Harris (D) 47.6R+0.95.8
Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned)2024-10-25 to 2024-10-281,082 LVKamala Harris (D) 47.8; Donald Trump (R) 47.6D+0.25.8
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-24 to 2024-11-021,010 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46D+2.06.0
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-24 to 2024-11-021,010 RVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 44; Chase Oliver (L) 3D+3.05.9
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-24 to 2024-11-021,010 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 46D+3.06.0
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-24 to 2024-11-021,010 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 2D+2.06.0
CNN/SSRS2024-10-21 to 2024-10-26683 LVDonald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1R+1.07.3
OnMessage for Senate Opportunity Fund(REP-aligned)2024-10-19 to 2024-10-22600 LVDonald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 0R+3.07.9
InsiderAdvantage2024-10-19 to 2024-10-20800 LVDonald Trump (R) 47.9; Kamala Harris (D) 47.7R+0.26.8
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20449 RVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48D+1.09.1
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20420 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48D+1.09.4
AtlasIntel2024-10-12 to 2024-10-171,171 LVKamala Harris (D) 48.4; Donald Trump (R) 48.3D+0.15.6
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research for AARP2024-10-08 to 2024-10-15600 LVDonald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1R+1.07.7
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research for AARP2024-10-08 to 2024-10-15600 LVDonald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 47R+2.07.8
Morning Consult2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15496 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 45D+4.08.5
CCES/YouGov2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25940 AKamala Harris (D) 53; Donald Trump (R) 44D+9.06.3
CCES/YouGov2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25933 LVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 47D+4.06.3
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15652 RVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 44D+3.07.3
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15652 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48Tied7.5