President


Difference: 0.3 points Also: Chase Oliver (L) 0.6%, Joel Skousen (CON) 0.0%
Photos: Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Joel Skousen, Gutter Fighting Secrets, CC BY 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+0.3, corrected R+0.8 (±1.8) · 16 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04within the margin of error
Result: Donald Trump (R) 50.6% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 47.5% · R+3.1. The plain poll average missed by 3.4 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 707 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.1 | R+3.1 | 7.3 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 707 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.2 | R+3.0 | 7.3 |
| Patriot Polling | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03 | 792 RV | Donald Trump (R) 49.5; Kamala Harris (D) 49.4 | R+0.1 | 6.9 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 782 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51.4; Kamala Harris (D) 45.9 | R+5.5 | 6.9 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 782 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51.5; Kamala Harris (D) 46 | R+5.5 | 6.9 |
| Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar | 2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02 | 840 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48.9 | R+0.1 | 6.7 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 845 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.5; Kamala Harris (D) 46.9 | R+3.6 | 6.7 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 845 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.6; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+3.6 | 6.7 |
| Emerson College for RealClearWorld | 2024-10-29 to 2024-10-31 | 700 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48.6; Donald Trump (R) 48.3 | D+0.3 | 7.3 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31 | 400 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.2; Kamala Harris (D) 44.2 | R+6.0 | 9.5 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31 | 593 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 0; Joel Skousen (CON) 0 | D+1.0 | 7.9 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 790 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 49 | D+1.0 | 6.9 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 773 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 49 | D+1.0 | 7.0 |
| Data for Progress | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-30 | 721 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Joel Skousen (CON) 0 | D+2.0 | 7.2 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,083 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.4; Kamala Harris (D) 47.5 | R+0.9 | 5.8 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,083 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.5; Kamala Harris (D) 47.6 | R+0.9 | 5.8 |
| Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-28 | 1,082 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 47.8; Donald Trump (R) 47.6 | D+0.2 | 5.8 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-24 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+2.0 | 6.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-24 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 44; Chase Oliver (L) 3 | D+3.0 | 5.9 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-24 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+3.0 | 6.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-24 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 2 | D+2.0 | 6.0 |
| CNN/SSRS | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-26 | 683 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | R+1.0 | 7.3 |
| OnMessage for Senate Opportunity Fund(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-22 | 600 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | R+3.0 | 7.9 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-20 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 47.9; Kamala Harris (D) 47.7 | R+0.2 | 6.8 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 449 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48 | D+1.0 | 9.1 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 420 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48 | D+1.0 | 9.4 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 1,171 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48.4; Donald Trump (R) 48.3 | D+0.1 | 5.6 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research for AARP | 2024-10-08 to 2024-10-15 | 600 LV | Donald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | R+1.0 | 7.7 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research for AARP | 2024-10-08 to 2024-10-15 | 600 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+2.0 | 7.8 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15 | 496 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 45 | D+4.0 | 8.5 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 940 A | Kamala Harris (D) 53; Donald Trump (R) 44 | D+9.0 | 6.3 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 933 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+4.0 | 6.3 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15 | 652 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 44 | D+3.0 | 7.3 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15 | 652 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48 | Tied | 7.5 |