District 1 no polls
Predicted D+17.4: the 2024 result (D+7.5) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
Nevada 2026 polls
District 2
RDavid Flippo
46.0%
average of 1 poll
DTeresa Benitez-Thompson
44.0%
average of 1 poll
Difference: 2.0 points
Plain average R+2.0, corrected R+3.7 (±7.9) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-13within the margin of error
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC(D-aligned) | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-13 | 560 LV | Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) 44; David Flippo (R) 46; Undecided (UND) 10 | R+2.0 | 7.9 |
District 3 no polls
Predicted D+12.7: the 2024 result (D+2.7) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 4 no polls
Predicted D+18.0: the 2024 result (D+8.1) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).