Governor
DJoyce Craig
47.4%
average of 6 polls · result 44.3%
RKelly Ayotte
47.3%won
average of 6 polls · result 53.6%
Difference: 0.1 points Also: Stephen Villee (L) 3.0%
Photos: Joyce Craig, United States Senate and Congress, Office of Senator Michael Bennet, Public domain; Kelly Ayotte, United States Senate, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+0.1, corrected R+1.1 (±2.6) · 6 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-03within the margin of error
Result: Kelly Ayotte (R) 53.6% ✓, Joyce Craig (D) 44.3%, Stephen Villee (L) 2.0% · R+9.3. The plain poll average missed by 9.5 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Dartmouth Poll | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03 | 587 LV | Joyce Craig (D) 57.7; Kelly Ayotte (R) 40.2 | D+17.5 | 7.9 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02 | 2,814 LV | Kelly Ayotte (R) 48; Joyce Craig (D) 44; Stephen Villee (L) 1 | R+4.0 | 3.5 |
| Saint Anselm College Survey Center | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-29 | 2,791 LV | Kelly Ayotte (R) 49; Joyce Craig (D) 46 | R+3.0 | 3.6 |
| Praecones Analytica for New Hampshire Journal | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-26 | 622 RV | Kelly Ayotte (R) 51.9; Joyce Craig (D) 48.1 | R+3.8 | 7.8 |
| Emerson College for 7News/WHDH | The Hill | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-23 | 915 LV | Kelly Ayotte (R) 49.5; Joyce Craig (D) 45.6; Stephen Villee (L) 5 | R+3.9 | 6.3 |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | 2024-10-10 to 2024-10-23 | 600 LV | Kelly Ayotte (R) 45; Joyce Craig (D) 43; Stephen Villee (L) 3 | R+2.0 | 7.5 |
| The Dartmouth Poll | 2024-10-05 to 2024-10-18 | 2,211 RV | Joyce Craig (D) 51.1; Kelly Ayotte (R) 45.5 | D+5.6 | 4.1 |