Nebraska 2026 polls

RMike Flood

46.0%

average of 1 poll

DChris Backemeyer

45.0%

average of 1 poll

Difference: 1.0 points

Photos: Mike Flood, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+1.0, corrected R+2.7 (±8.1) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-20within the margin of error

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC(D-aligned)	2026-10-19 to 2026-10-20	536 LV	Mike Flood (R) 46; Chris Backemeyer (D) 45; Undecided (UND) 9	R+1.0	8.1

DDenise Powell

50.0%

average of 1 poll

RBrinker Harding

38.0%

average of 1 poll

Difference: 12.0 points

Plain average D+12.0, corrected D+12.0 (±6.5) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-05

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
National Public Affairs	2026-10-02 to 2026-10-05	800 LV	Brinker Harding (R) 38; Denise Powell (D) 50; Other (OTH) 6; Undecided (UND) 6	D+12.0	6.5

Predicted R+50.9: the 2024 result (R+60.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).