Nebraska 2024 polls and results

RMike Flood

53.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 60.1%

DCarol Blood

39.0%

average of 1 poll · result 39.9%

Difference: 14.0 points

Photos: Mike Flood, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+14.0, corrected R+14.8 (±9.2) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-28

Result: Mike Flood (R) 60.1% ✓, Carol Blood (D) 39.9% · R+20.2. The plain poll average missed by 6.2 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
YouGov for Economist	2024-10-21 to 2024-10-28	406 LV	Mike Flood (R) 53; Carol Blood (D) 39	R+14.0	9.2

DTony Vargas

50.0%

average of 1 poll · result 49.1%

RDon Bacon

46.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 50.9%

Difference: 4.0 points

Photos: Tony Vargas, Matt Johnson from Omaha, Nebraska, United States, CC BY 2.0; Don Bacon, US House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+4.0, corrected D+3.2 (±9.7) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-28within the margin of error

Result: Don Bacon (R) 50.9% ✓, Tony Vargas (D) 49.1% · R+1.9. The plain poll average missed by 5.9 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
YouGov for Economist	2024-10-21 to 2024-10-28	389 LV	Tony Vargas (D) 50; Don Bacon (R) 46	D+4.0	9.7

RAdrian Smith

68.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 80.4%

DDaniel Ebers

22.0%

average of 1 poll · result 19.6%

Difference: 46.0 points

Photos: Adrian Smith, Wikimedia Commons, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+46.0, corrected R+46.8 (±8.1) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-28

Result: Adrian Smith (R) 80.4% ✓, Daniel Ebers (D) 19.6% · R+60.8. The plain poll average missed by 14.8 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
YouGov for Economist	2024-10-21 to 2024-10-28	404 LV	Adrian Smith (R) 68; Daniel Ebers (D) 22	R+46.0	8.1