Governor

DJoshua Harold Stein
53.1%won
average of 14 polls · result 54.9%
RMark Keith Robinson
37.9%
average of 14 polls · result 40.1%
Difference: 15.2 points Also: Mike Ross (L) 2.3%, Michael Wayne Turner (G) 0.2%, Walter Vinny Smith (CON) 0.8%
Photos: Joshua Harold Stein, State of North Carolina, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+15.2, corrected D+14.0 · 14 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04
Result: Joshua Harold Stein (D) 54.9% ✓, Mark Keith Robinson (R) 40.1%, Mike Ross (L) 3.1% · D+14.8. The plain poll average missed by 0.4 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 1,219 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 54; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 37.5 | D+16.5 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 1,310 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 52.1; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 41 | D+11.1 |
| Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar | 2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02 | 860 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 51.6; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 40.1 | D+11.5 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 1,373 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 51.5; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 42.1 | D+9.4 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 RV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 56; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 36 | D+20.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 56; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 38 | D+18.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,665 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 53.8; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 39.2 | D+14.6 |
| East Carolina University Center for Survey Research | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-29 | 1,250 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 55.2; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 39.5; Mike Ross (L) 2.9; Michael Wayne Turner (G) 0.6; Walter Vinny Smith (CON) 0.6 | D+15.7 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28 | 872 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 57; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 41 | D+16.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28 | 1,113 RV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 59; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 38 | D+21.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-23 to 2024-11-01 | 1,056 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 52.1; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 35.9 | D+16.2 |
| CNN/SSRS | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-28 | 750 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 53; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 37 | D+16.0 |
| SurveyUSA for WRAL News | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 | 853 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 52; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 37 | D+15.0 |
| Emerson College for RealClearWorld | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-22 | 950 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 51.2; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 38.7 | D+12.5 |
| SoCal Strategies for On Point Politics | Red Eagle Politics(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-20 to 2024-10-21 | 702 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 55.1; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 40.3 | D+14.8 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-31 | 400 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 57.6; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 42.4 | D+15.2 |
| Marist College | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-22 | 1,410 RV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 55; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 40 | D+15.0 |
| Marist College | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-22 | 1,226 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 55; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 41 | D+14.0 |
| SurveyUSA for High Point University | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-20 | 1,164 RV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 50; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 34 | D+16.0 |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-23 | 650 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 48; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 36; Mike Ross (L) 2; Walter Vinny Smith (CON) 1; Michael Wayne Turner (G) 0 | D+12.0 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-18 | 843 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 45; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 37; Mike Ross (L) 2; Michael Wayne Turner (G) 0 | D+8.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 1,674 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 53.7; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 39.1 | D+14.6 |
| Elon University | 2024-10-10 to 2024-10-17 | 800 RV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 52; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 31 | D+21.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15 | 1,072 LV | Joshua Harold Stein (D) 54; Mark Keith Robinson (R) 32 | D+22.0 |