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Montana 2026 polls

District 1

DSam Forstag
49.0%
average of 2 polls
RAaron Flint
45.5%
average of 2 polls

Difference: 3.5 points

Plain average D+3.5, corrected D+3.2 (±6.7) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-14within the margin of error

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC(D-aligned)2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14541 LVAaron Flint (R) 45; Sam Forstag (D) 48; Undecided (UND) 7D+3.08.1
Emerson College for Poll Vault2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14329 LVAaron Flint (R) 46; Sam Forstag (D) 50; Undecided (UND) 4D+4.010.6

District 2 no polls

Predicted R+22.1: the 2024 result (R+32.0) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).