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Minnesota 2026 polls

U.S. Senate

Photo of Peggy Flanagan
DPeggy Flanagan
47.7%
average of 6 polls
Photo of Michele Tafoya
RMichele Tafoya
43.3%
average of 6 polls

Difference: 4.4 points

Photos: Peggy Flanagan, Office of Governor Tim Walz & Lt. Governor Peggy Flanagan, Public domain; Michele Tafoya, Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+4.3, corrected D+4.8 (±2.5) · 6 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-21

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
Rasmussen Reports(R-aligned)2026-10-20 to 2026-10-211,182 LVPeggy Flanagan (D) 48; Michele Tafoya (R) 45; Undecided (UND) 7D+3.05.5
Trafalgar Group(R-aligned)2026-10-13 to 2026-10-151,079 LVPeggy Flanagan (D) 48; Michele Tafoya (R) 45; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 5D+3.05.8
SurveyUSA for SurveyUSA2026-10-08 to 2026-10-12718 LVPeggy Flanagan (D) 45; Michele Tafoya (R) 42; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 9D+3.06.8
Rasmussen Reports(D-aligned)2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07856 LVPeggy Flanagan (D) 48; Michele Tafoya (R) 45; Undecided (UND) 7D+3.06.5
Mason-Dixon2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07800 LVPeggy Flanagan (D) 47; Michele Tafoya (R) 43; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 9D+4.06.6
Morning Consult(D-aligned)2026-10-02 to 2026-10-071,000 RVPeggy Flanagan (D) 45; Michele Tafoya (R) 41; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 12D+4.05.7
GQR2026-10-01 to 2026-10-04800 LVPeggy Flanagan (D) 53; Michele Tafoya (R) 44; Undecided (UND) 3D+9.06.8