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Minnesota 2026 polls

District 1

DJake Johnson

44.5%

average of 2 polls

Photo of Brad Finstad

RBrad Finstad

43.5%

average of 2 polls

Difference: 1.0 points

Photos: Brad Finstad, Clerk of the United States House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+1.0, corrected R+0.2 · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-14

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin
Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC(D-aligned)	2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14	588 LV	Brad Finstad (R) 43; Jake Johnson (D) 43; Undecided (UND) 14	Tied
SurveyUSA(D-aligned)	2026-10-04 to 2026-10-09	565 LV	Brad Finstad (R) 44; Jake Johnson (D) 46; Undecided (UND) 10	D+2.0

District 2 no polls

Predicted D+23.4: the 2024 result (D+13.5) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

District 3 no polls

Predicted D+26.9: the 2024 result (D+17.0) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

District 4 no polls

Predicted D+44.6: the 2024 result (D+34.7) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

District 5 no polls

Predicted D+59.7: the 2024 result (D+49.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

District 6 no polls

Predicted R+15.1: the 2024 result (R+25.0) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

District 7 no polls

Predicted R+31.1: the 2024 result (R+41.0) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).

District 8 no polls

Predicted R+6.2: the 2024 result (R+16.1) plus the national swing (D+9.9).

In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 64% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).