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Michigan 2024 polls and results

U.S. Senate

Photo of Elissa Slotkin
DElissa Slotkin
48.5%won
average of 28 polls · result 48.6%
Photo of Mike Rogers
RMike Rogers
44.8%
average of 28 polls · result 48.3%

Difference: 3.7 points Also: Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) 1.0%, Dave Stein (UST) 0.9%, Douglas P. Marsh (G) 0.9%, Doug Dern (NLP) 0.5%

Photos: Elissa Slotkin, U.S. Senate Photographic Studio, Public domain; Mike Rogers, P.J. Siquig, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+3.8, corrected D+2.6 · 28 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04

Result: Elissa Slotkin (D) 48.6% ✓, Mike Rogers (R) 48.3%, Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) 1.0% · D+0.3. The plain poll average missed by 3.4 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin
AtlasIntel2024-11-03 to 2024-11-041,113 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48.6; Mike Rogers (R) 47.5D+1.1
Research Co.2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03450 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 50; Mike Rogers (R) 44D+6.0
Patriot Polling2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03858 RVElissa Slotkin (D) 50.3; Mike Rogers (R) 48.8D+1.5
Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned)2024-11-01 to 2024-11-031,079 LVMike Rogers (R) 47.4; Elissa Slotkin (D) 47.3R+0.1
AtlasIntel2024-11-01 to 2024-11-021,198 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48.6; Mike Rogers (R) 47.3D+1.3
InsiderAdvantage2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02800 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48.4; Mike Rogers (R) 47.8D+0.6
Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02790 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48.9; Mike Rogers (R) 45.2D+3.7
AtlasIntel2024-10-30 to 2024-10-311,136 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 49.5; Mike Rogers (R) 46.3D+3.2
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02998 RVElissa Slotkin (D) 45; Mike Rogers (R) 45Tied
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02998 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 46D+2.0
Mitchell Research & Communications for MIRS News Service | Michigan News Source2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02585 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 46; Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) 1D+2.0
Mitchell Research & Communications for MIRS News Service | Michigan News Source2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02585 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 50; Mike Rogers (R) 48D+2.0
OnMessage2024-10-29 to 2024-10-31800 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 47; Mike Rogers (R) 46D+1.0
Mitchell Research & Communications for Michigan News Source2024-10-28 to 2024-10-29—Mike Rogers (R) 49; Elissa Slotkin (D) 47R+2.0
Echelon Insights2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30600 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 46; Dave Stein (UST) 1; Douglas P. Marsh (G) 1; Doug Dern (NLP) 1; Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) 0D+2.0
Marist College2024-10-27 to 2024-10-301,356 RVElissa Slotkin (D) 51; Mike Rogers (R) 47D+4.0
Marist College2024-10-27 to 2024-10-301,214 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 52; Mike Rogers (R) 46D+6.0
Tarrance Group(REP-aligned)2024-10-26 to 2024-10-29620 LVMike Rogers (R) 50; Elissa Slotkin (D) 48R+2.0
InsiderAdvantage2024-10-26 to 2024-10-27800 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48.3; Mike Rogers (R) 47.7D+0.6
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02713 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 47; Mike Rogers (R) 43D+4.0
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02733 RVElissa Slotkin (D) 47; Mike Rogers (R) 42D+5.0
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31985 RVElissa Slotkin (D) 51; Mike Rogers (R) 41D+10.0
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31942 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 51; Mike Rogers (R) 42D+9.0
AtlasIntel2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29983 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48.9; Mike Rogers (R) 47.1D+1.8
Emerson College for RealClearWorld2024-10-25 to 2024-10-271,000 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 45.6D+2.4
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28988 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 51; Mike Rogers (R) 47D+4.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,275 RVElissa Slotkin (D) 51; Mike Rogers (R) 46D+5.0
The Washington Post2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,003 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 45D+3.0
The Washington Post2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,003 RVElissa Slotkin (D) 46; Mike Rogers (R) 45D+1.0
EPIC-MRA for Detroit Free Press2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28600 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 47; Mike Rogers (R) 42D+5.0
Suffolk University for USA Today2024-10-24 to 2024-10-27500 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 47.2; Mike Rogers (R) 45.4; Douglas P. Marsh (G) 1.2; Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) 0.8; Dave Stein (UST) 0.6; Doug Dern (NLP) 0.2D+1.8
Patriot Polling2024-10-24 to 2024-10-26796 RVElissa Slotkin (D) 51; Mike Rogers (R) 48D+3.0
Morning Consult2024-10-23 to 2024-11-011,112 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 49; Mike Rogers (R) 41D+8.0
CNN/SSRS2024-10-23 to 2024-10-28726 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 42D+6.0
Susquehanna Polling & Research2024-10-23 to 2024-10-27400 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 47.7; Mike Rogers (R) 47.1D+0.6
Glengariff Group for Detroit News | WDIV-TV2024-10-22 to 2024-10-24600 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 46.2; Mike Rogers (R) 42.5; Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) 2.3; Douglas P. Marsh (G) 1.5; Dave Stein (UST) 0.7; Doug Dern (NLP) 0.2D+3.7
ActiVote2024-10-21 to 2024-10-31400 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 51.2; Mike Rogers (R) 48.8D+2.4
Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned)2024-10-18 to 2024-10-201,090 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 46.4; Mike Rogers (R) 45D+1.4
Quinnipiac University2024-10-17 to 2024-10-211,136 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 52; Mike Rogers (R) 44D+8.0
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov2024-10-16 to 2024-10-24600 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 39; Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) 1; Dave Stein (UST) 1; Douglas P. Marsh (G) 0; Doug Dern (NLP) 0D+9.0
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-16 to 2024-10-181,008 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 45; Mike Rogers (R) 38; Joseph Solis-Mullen (L) 1; Dave Stein (UST) 1; Douglas P. Marsh (G) 1; Doug Dern (NLP) 1D+7.0
AtlasIntel2024-10-12 to 2024-10-171,529 LVMike Rogers (R) 48.3; Elissa Slotkin (D) 47.7R+0.6
The Bullfinch Group2024-10-11 to 2024-10-17600 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 51; Mike Rogers (R) 42D+9.0
RMG Research for Napolitan News Service2024-10-10 to 2024-10-16789 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 49; Mike Rogers (R) 45D+4.0
Morning Consult2024-10-06 to 2024-10-151,065 LVElissa Slotkin (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 41D+7.0