U.S. Senate
DAbdul El-Sayed
47.9%
average of 8 polls
RMike Rogers
45.7%
average of 8 polls
Difference: 2.2 points
Photos: Abdul El-Sayed, Conlan Houston, CC BY-SA 4.0; Mike Rogers, P.J. Siquig, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+2.2, corrected D+1.8 (±2.5) · 8 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-23within the margin of error
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-10-21 to 2026-10-22 | 1,200 LV | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 47; Mike Rogers (R) 46; Undecided (UND) 7 | D+1.0 | 5.5 |
| RedBox Research | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-23 | 2,696 LV | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 49; Mike Rogers (R) 44; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 3 | D+5.0 | 3.6 |
| Glengariff Group | 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-22 | 600 LV | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51; Mike Rogers (R) 45; Other (OTH) 0; Undecided (UND) 4 | D+6.0 | 7.8 |
| Marist College | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-18 | — | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 50; Mike Rogers (R) 48; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 2 | D+2.0 | — |
| Rasmussen Reports(R-aligned) | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 798 LV | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 46; Mike Rogers (R) 44; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 5 | D+2.0 | 6.6 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 | 1,200 LV | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 46; Undecided (UND) 6 | D+2.0 | 5.5 |
| Tyson Group | 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-08 | 600 LV | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 44; Mike Rogers (R) 46 | R+2.0 | 7.6 |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-06 | 762 LV | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 47; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 4 | D+1.0 | 6.9 |
| YouGov | 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-19 | 836 LV | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48; Mike Rogers (R) 45.5; Undecided (UND) 6.5 | D+2.5 | 6.5 |