Maine 2024 polls and results

District 1

DChellie Pingree

58.0%won

average of 2 polls · result 58.7%

RRonald C. Russell

28.0%

average of 2 polls · result 36.4%

Difference: 30.0 points Also: Ethan Weld Alcorn (I) 4.0%

Photos: Chellie Pingree, U.S. Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+30.0, corrected D+28.9 (±5.0) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-02

Result: Chellie Pingree (D) 58.7% ✓, Ronald C. Russell (R) 36.4%, Ethan Weld Alcorn (I) 4.9% · D+22.3. The plain poll average missed by 7.7 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
University of New Hampshire Survey Center	2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02	801 LV	Chellie Pingree (D) 56; Ronald C. Russell (R) 28; Ethan Weld Alcorn (I) 4	D+28.0	6.0
SurveyUSA for Bangor Daily News \| FairVote	2024-10-24 to 2024-10-29	482 LV	Chellie Pingree (D) 60; Ronald C. Russell (R) 28; Ethan Weld Alcorn (I) 4	D+32.0	7.9

District 2

DJared Forrest Golden

47.7%won

average of 3 polls · result 100.4%

RAustin Theriault

44.0%

average of 3 polls · result 99.5%

Difference: 3.7 points

Photos: Jared Forrest Golden, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain; Austin Theriault, Royalbroil, CC BY-SA 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+3.7, corrected D+3.0 (±4.8) · 3 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-02within the margin of error

Result: Jared Forrest Golden (D) 100.4% ✓, Austin Theriault (R) 99.5% · D+0.9. The plain poll average missed by 2.8 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
University of New Hampshire Survey Center	2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02	683 LV	Jared Forrest Golden (D) 45; Austin Theriault (R) 44	D+1.0	7.1
SurveyUSA for Bangor Daily News \| FairVote	2024-10-24 to 2024-10-29	484 LV	Jared Forrest Golden (D) 53; Austin Theriault (R) 41	D+12.0	8.6
Axis Research for NRCC(REP-aligned)	2024-10-17 to 2024-10-20	411 LV	Austin Theriault (R) 47; Jared Forrest Golden (D) 45	R+2.0	9.3