U.S. Senate
RAshley Hinson
45.9%
average of 10 polls
DJosh Turek
45.5%
average of 10 polls
Difference: 0.4 points
Photos: Ashley Hinson, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+0.4, corrected D+0.6 (±2.2) · 10 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-22within the margin of error
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-10-21 to 2026-10-22 | 1,200 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 47; Josh Turek (D) 45; Undecided (UND) 8 | R+2.0 | 5.4 |
| co/efficient(R-aligned) | 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-19 | 863 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 48; Josh Turek (D) 45; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 6 | R+3.0 | 6.4 |
| Trafalgar Group(R-aligned) | 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-15 | 1,094 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 46; Josh Turek (D) 44; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 6 | R+2.0 | 5.6 |
| New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group for The Cook Political Report | 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-13 | 602 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 44; Josh Turek (D) 46; Other (OTH) 8; Undecided (UND) 2 | D+2.0 | 7.6 |
| NPA Polling | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-12 | 678 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 47; Josh Turek (D) 44; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 5 | R+3.0 | 7.2 |
| Marist College | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-11 | — | Ashley Hinson (R) 45; Josh Turek (D) 48; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 4 | D+3.0 | — |
| YouGov | 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-12 | 2,245 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 46; Josh Turek (D) 47; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 4 | D+1.0 | 4.0 |
| Emerson College | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-06 | 650 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 47; Josh Turek (D) 45; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 7 | R+2.0 | 7.4 |
| Suffolk University | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-04 | 500 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 43.6; Josh Turek (D) 48; Other (OTH) 2.2; Undecided (UND) 5.6 | D+4.4 | 8.4 |
| CNN / SSRS | 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-05 | 801 LV | Ashley Hinson (R) 45; Josh Turek (D) 43; Other (OTH) 11 | R+2.0 | 6.5 |