Difference: 32.1 points
Photos: Matt Gaetz, Ike Hayman, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Matt Gaetz (R) 66.0% ✓, Gay Valimont (D) 34.0% · R+32.1.
Difference: 23.3 points
Photos: Neal Dunn, U.S. Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Neal Dunn (R) 61.6% ✓, Yen Bailey (D) 38.4% · R+23.3.
Difference: 23.2 points
Photos: Kat Cammack, Office of Congresswoman Kat Cammack, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Kat Cammack (R) 61.6% ✓, Tom Wells (D) 38.4% · R+23.2.
Difference: 7.0 points
Photos: Aaron Bean, Florida Senate, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+7.0, corrected R+7.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-19
Result: Aaron Bean (R) 57.3% ✓, LaShonda "L.J." Holloway (D) 42.7% · R+14.5. The plain poll average missed by 7.5 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | 2024-10-18 to 2024-10-19 | 337 LV | Aaron Bean (R) 48; LaShonda "L.J." Holloway (D) 41 | R+7.0 |
Difference: 26.1 points
Photos: John H. Rutherford, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: John H. Rutherford (R) 63.1% ✓, Jay McGovern (D) 36.9% · R+26.1.
Difference: 33.1 points
Photos: Michael Waltz, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Michael Waltz (R) 66.5% ✓, James David Stockton III (D) 33.5% · R+33.1.
Difference: 13.1 points
Photos: Cory Lee Mills, Library of Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Cory Lee Mills (R) 56.5% ✓, Jennifer Adams (D) 43.5% · R+13.1.
Difference: 24.5 points
Photos: Mike Haridopolos, Cjfink84, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Mike Haridopolos (R) 62.2% ✓, Sandy Kennedy (D) 37.8% · R+24.5.
Difference: 12.6 points Also: Gregory Marcus Carter (NPA) 2.3%
Photos: Darren Soto, United States House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Darren Soto (D) 55.1% ✓, Thomas Chalifoux (R) 42.6%, Gregory Marcus Carter (NPA) 2.3% · D+12.6.
Difference: 24.7 points
Photos: Maxwell Alejandro Frost, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Maxwell Alejandro Frost (D) 62.4% ✓, Willie J. Montague (R) 37.6% · D+24.7.
Difference: 20.8 points
Photos: Daniel Webster, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Daniel Webster (R) 60.4% ✓, Barbie Harden Hall (D) 39.6% · R+20.8.
Difference: 42.1 points
Photos: Gus Michael Bilirakis, Online Guide to House Members and Senators, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Gus Michael Bilirakis (R) 71.0% ✓, Rock Aboujaoude Jr. (D) 29.0% · R+42.1.
Difference: 0.0 points
Photos: Anna Paulina Luna, US House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average Tied, corrected D+2.1 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-20
Result: Anna Paulina Luna (R) 54.8% ✓, Whitney Fox (D) 45.2% · R+9.7. The plain poll average missed by 9.7 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls for Voting Trend | The Florida Squeeze | 2024-10-20 to 2024-10-20 | 905 LV | Whitney Fox (D) 45.9; Anna Paulina Luna (R) 45.9 | Tied |
Difference: 15.4 points Also: Christopher Allen Bradley (NPA) 0.7%, Nathaniel T. Snyder (L) 0.7%
Photos: Kathy Castor, United States Government, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Kathy Castor (D) 57.0% ✓, Robert "Rocky" Rochford (R) 41.6%, Christopher Allen Bradley (NPA) 0.7% · D+15.4.
Difference: 12.4 points
Photos: Laurel Lee, Government of Florida, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Laurel Lee (R) 56.2% ✓, Patricia "Pat" Kemp (D) 43.8% · R+12.4.
Difference: 19.0 points
Photos: Vern Buchanan, US Gov't, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Vern Buchanan (R) 59.5% ✓, Jan Schneider (D) 40.5% · R+19.0.
Difference: 27.8 points
Photos: Greg Steube, U.S. House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Greg Steube (R) 63.9% ✓, Manny Lopez (D) 36.1% · R+27.8.
Difference: 30.6 points
Photos: Scott Franklin, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Scott Franklin (R) 65.3% ✓, Andrea Doria Kale (D) 34.7% · R+30.6.
Difference: 32.6 points
Photos: Byron Donalds, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Byron Donalds (R) 66.3% ✓, Kari L. Lerner (D) 33.7% · R+32.6.
Photos: Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) 0.0% ✓ (unopposed).
Difference: 23.6 points
Photos: Brian Mast, U.S. Institute of Peace, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Brian Mast (R) 61.8% ✓, Thomas Wiktop (D) 38.2% · R+23.6.
Difference: 9.9 points
Photos: Lois Frankel, U.S. Government, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Lois Frankel (D) 55.0% ✓, Dan Franzese (R) 45.0% · D+9.9.
Difference: 4.9 points
Photos: Jared Moskowitz, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Jared Moskowitz (D) 52.5% ✓, Joseph "Joe" Kaufman (R) 47.5% · D+4.9.
Difference: 36.5 points
Photos: Frederica Wilson, Office of United States Rep. Frederica Wilson (D-Florida), 2011, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Frederica Wilson (D) 68.2% ✓, Jesus Gabriel Navarro (R) 31.8% · D+36.5.
Difference: 8.9 points
Photos: Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) 54.5% ✓, Chris Eddy (R) 45.5% · D+8.9.
Difference: 41.8 points
Photos: Mario Diaz-Balart, US House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Mario Diaz-Balart (R) 70.9% ✓, Joey Atkins (D) 29.1% · R+41.8.
Difference: 20.8 points
Photos: Maria Elvira Salazar, Office of Congresswoman Maria Elvira Salazar, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Maria Elvira Salazar (R) 60.4% ✓, Lucia Baez-Geller (D) 39.6% · R+20.8.
Difference: 29.1 points
Photos: Carlos A. Gimenez, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.
Result: Carlos A. Gimenez (R) 64.6% ✓, Phil Ehr (D) 35.4% · R+29.1.
