U.S. Senate (special election)
RAshley Moody
49.9%
average of 9 polls
DAngie Nixon
43.1%
average of 9 polls
Difference: 6.8 points
Photos: Ashley Moody, Senator Scott's Press Office, Public domain; Angie Nixon, Florida House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+6.8, corrected R+6.6 (±2.1) · 9 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-20
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient for efficient (R)(R-aligned) | 2026-10-18 to 2026-10-20 | 1,014 LV | Ashley Moody (R) 48; Angie Nixon (D) 40; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 11 | R+8.0 | 5.8 |
| University of North Florida | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-19 | 1,414 LV | Ashley Moody (R) 49; Angie Nixon (D) 45; Undecided (UND) 6 | R+4.0 | 5.0 |
| St. Pete Polls | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07 | 836 LV | Ashley Moody (R) 47; Angie Nixon (D) 45; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 6 | R+2.0 | 6.5 |
| MDW Communications | 2026-10-04 to 2026-10-10 | 2,351 LV | Ashley Moody (R) 48; Angie Nixon (D) 42; Undecided (UND) 10 | R+6.0 | 3.8 |
| Univision / YouGov for YouGov | 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-15 | 825 RV | Ashley Moody (R) 51; Angie Nixon (D) 42; Undecided (UND) 7 | R+9.0 | 6.5 |
| Stetson University | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-09 | 716 LV | Ashley Moody (R) 52; Angie Nixon (D) 41; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 6 | R+11.0 | 7.0 |
| YouGov | 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-05 | 3,813 LV | Ashley Moody (R) 49; Angie Nixon (D) 44; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 5 | R+5.0 | 3.1 |
| James Madison Institute(D-aligned) | 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04 | 1,171 LV | Ashley Moody (R) 52; Angie Nixon (D) 42; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 4 | R+10.0 | 5.5 |
| ActiVote | 2026-09-27 to 2026-10-15 | 400 LV | Ashley Moody (R) 53; Angie Nixon (D) 47 | R+6.0 | 9.8 |