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Florida 2026 polls

Governor

Photo of Byron Donalds
RByron Donalds
49.0%
average of 11 polls
Photo of David Jolly
DDavid Jolly
44.0%
average of 11 polls

Difference: 5.0 points

Photos: Byron Donalds, United States Congress, Public domain; David Jolly, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+5.0, corrected R+5.0 (±1.9) · 11 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-20

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
co/efficient for efficient (R)(R-aligned)2026-10-18 to 2026-10-201,014 LVByron Donalds (R) 49; David Jolly (D) 40; Undecided (UND) 11R+9.05.8
University of North Florida2026-10-12 to 2026-10-191,378 LVByron Donalds (R) 49; David Jolly (D) 47; Undecided (UND) 4R+2.05.2
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates(R-aligned)2026-10-08 to 2026-10-111,200 LVByron Donalds (R) 49; David Jolly (D) 43; Undecided (UND) 8R+6.05.4
Change Research(R-aligned)2026-10-08 to 2026-10-10920 LVByron Donalds (R) 47; David Jolly (D) 47; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 5Tied6.3
St. Pete Polls2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07836 LVByron Donalds (R) 45; David Jolly (D) 45; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 7Tied6.4
MDW Communications2026-10-04 to 2026-10-102,351 LVByron Donalds (R) 47; David Jolly (D) 44; Undecided (UND) 10R+3.03.9
Univision / YouGov for YouGov2026-10-02 to 2026-10-15825 RVByron Donalds (R) 50; David Jolly (D) 42; Undecided (UND) 8R+8.06.5
ActiVote2026-10-01 to 2026-10-19400 LVByron Donalds (R) 52; David Jolly (D) 48R+4.09.8
Stetson University(D-aligned)2026-10-01 to 2026-10-09716 LVByron Donalds (R) 52; David Jolly (D) 41; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 5R+11.07.0
YouGov2026-09-28 to 2026-10-053,813 LVByron Donalds (R) 47; David Jolly (D) 45; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 7R+2.03.0
James Madison Institute(D-aligned)2026-09-28 to 2026-10-041,174 LVByron Donalds (R) 52; David Jolly (D) 42; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 3R+10.05.5