Florida 2024 polls and results

District 1

RMatt Gaetz

66.0%won

result (not polled)

DGay Valimont

34.0%

result (not polled)

Difference: 32.1 points

Photos: Matt Gaetz, Ike Hayman, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Matt Gaetz (R) 66.0% ✓, Gay Valimont (D) 34.0% · R+32.1.

District 2

RNeal Dunn

61.6%won

result (not polled)

DYen Bailey

38.4%

result (not polled)

Difference: 23.3 points

Photos: Neal Dunn, U.S. Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Neal Dunn (R) 61.6% ✓, Yen Bailey (D) 38.4% · R+23.3.

District 3

RKat Cammack

61.6%won

result (not polled)

DTom Wells

38.4%

result (not polled)

Difference: 23.2 points

Photos: Kat Cammack, Office of Congresswoman Kat Cammack, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Kat Cammack (R) 61.6% ✓, Tom Wells (D) 38.4% · R+23.2.

District 4

RAaron Bean

48.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 57.3%

DLaShonda "L.J." Holloway

41.0%

average of 1 poll · result 42.7%

Difference: 7.0 points

Photos: Aaron Bean, Florida Senate, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+7.0, corrected R+7.0 (±10.0) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-19within the margin of error

Result: Aaron Bean (R) 57.3% ✓, LaShonda "L.J." Holloway (D) 42.7% · R+14.5. The plain poll average missed by 7.5 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab	2024-10-18 to 2024-10-19	337 LV	Aaron Bean (R) 48; LaShonda "L.J." Holloway (D) 41	R+7.0	10.0

District 5

RJohn H. Rutherford

63.1%won

result (not polled)

DJay McGovern

36.9%

result (not polled)

Difference: 26.1 points

Photos: John H. Rutherford, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: John H. Rutherford (R) 63.1% ✓, Jay McGovern (D) 36.9% · R+26.1.

District 6

RMichael Waltz

66.5%won

result (not polled)

DJames David Stockton III

33.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 33.1 points

Photos: Michael Waltz, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Michael Waltz (R) 66.5% ✓, James David Stockton III (D) 33.5% · R+33.1.

District 7

RCory Lee Mills

56.5%won

result (not polled)

DJennifer Adams

43.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 13.1 points

Photos: Cory Lee Mills, Library of Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Cory Lee Mills (R) 56.5% ✓, Jennifer Adams (D) 43.5% · R+13.1.

District 8

RMike Haridopolos

62.2%won

result (not polled)

DSandy Kennedy

37.8%

result (not polled)

Difference: 24.5 points

Photos: Mike Haridopolos, Cjfink84, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Mike Haridopolos (R) 62.2% ✓, Sandy Kennedy (D) 37.8% · R+24.5.

District 9

DDarren Soto

55.1%won

result (not polled)

RThomas Chalifoux

42.6%

result (not polled)

Difference: 12.6 points Also: Gregory Marcus Carter (NPA) 2.3%

Photos: Darren Soto, United States House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Darren Soto (D) 55.1% ✓, Thomas Chalifoux (R) 42.6%, Gregory Marcus Carter (NPA) 2.3% · D+12.6.

District 10

DMaxwell Alejandro Frost

62.4%won

result (not polled)

RWillie J. Montague

37.6%

result (not polled)

Difference: 24.7 points

Photos: Maxwell Alejandro Frost, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Maxwell Alejandro Frost (D) 62.4% ✓, Willie J. Montague (R) 37.6% · D+24.7.

District 11

RDaniel Webster

60.4%won

result (not polled)

DBarbie Harden Hall

39.6%

result (not polled)

Difference: 20.8 points

Photos: Daniel Webster, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Daniel Webster (R) 60.4% ✓, Barbie Harden Hall (D) 39.6% · R+20.8.

District 12

RGus Michael Bilirakis

71.0%won

result (not polled)

DRock Aboujaoude Jr.

29.0%

result (not polled)

Difference: 42.1 points

Photos: Gus Michael Bilirakis, Online Guide to House Members and Senators, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Gus Michael Bilirakis (R) 71.0% ✓, Rock Aboujaoude Jr. (D) 29.0% · R+42.1.

District 13

RAnna Paulina Luna

45.9%won

average of 1 poll · result 54.8%

DWhitney Fox

45.9%

average of 1 poll · result 45.2%

Difference: 0.0 points

Photos: Anna Paulina Luna, US House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average Tied, corrected D+2.1 (±6.2) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-20within the margin of error

Result: Anna Paulina Luna (R) 54.8% ✓, Whitney Fox (D) 45.2% · R+9.7. The plain poll average missed by 9.7 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
St. Pete Polls for Voting Trend \| The Florida Squeeze	2024-10-20 to 2024-10-20	905 LV	Whitney Fox (D) 45.9; Anna Paulina Luna (R) 45.9	Tied	6.2

District 14

DKathy Castor

57.0%won

result (not polled)

RRobert "Rocky" Rochford

41.6%

result (not polled)

Difference: 15.4 points Also: Christopher Allen Bradley (NPA) 0.7%, Nathaniel T. Snyder (L) 0.7%

Photos: Kathy Castor, United States Government, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Kathy Castor (D) 57.0% ✓, Robert "Rocky" Rochford (R) 41.6%, Christopher Allen Bradley (NPA) 0.7% · D+15.4.

District 15

RLaurel Lee

56.2%won

result (not polled)

DPatricia "Pat" Kemp

43.8%

result (not polled)

Difference: 12.4 points

Photos: Laurel Lee, Government of Florida, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Laurel Lee (R) 56.2% ✓, Patricia "Pat" Kemp (D) 43.8% · R+12.4.

District 16

RVern Buchanan

59.5%won

result (not polled)

DJan Schneider

40.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 19.0 points

Photos: Vern Buchanan, US Gov't, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Vern Buchanan (R) 59.5% ✓, Jan Schneider (D) 40.5% · R+19.0.

District 17

RGreg Steube

63.9%won

result (not polled)

DManny Lopez

36.1%

result (not polled)

Difference: 27.8 points

Photos: Greg Steube, U.S. House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Greg Steube (R) 63.9% ✓, Manny Lopez (D) 36.1% · R+27.8.

District 18

RScott Franklin

65.3%won

result (not polled)

DAndrea Doria Kale

34.7%

result (not polled)

Difference: 30.6 points

Photos: Scott Franklin, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Scott Franklin (R) 65.3% ✓, Andrea Doria Kale (D) 34.7% · R+30.6.

District 19

RByron Donalds

66.3%won

result (not polled)

DKari L. Lerner

33.7%

result (not polled)

Difference: 32.6 points

Photos: Byron Donalds, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Byron Donalds (R) 66.3% ✓, Kari L. Lerner (D) 33.7% · R+32.6.

District 20

DSheila Cherfilus-McCormick

0.0%won

result (not polled)

Photos: Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) 0.0% ✓ (unopposed).

District 21

RBrian Mast

61.8%won

result (not polled)

DThomas Wiktop

38.2%

result (not polled)

Difference: 23.6 points

Photos: Brian Mast, U.S. Institute of Peace, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Brian Mast (R) 61.8% ✓, Thomas Wiktop (D) 38.2% · R+23.6.

District 22

DLois Frankel

55.0%won

result (not polled)

RDan Franzese

45.0%

result (not polled)

Difference: 9.9 points

Photos: Lois Frankel, U.S. Government, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Lois Frankel (D) 55.0% ✓, Dan Franzese (R) 45.0% · D+9.9.

District 23

DJared Moskowitz

52.5%won

result (not polled)

RJoseph "Joe" Kaufman

47.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 4.9 points

Photos: Jared Moskowitz, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Jared Moskowitz (D) 52.5% ✓, Joseph "Joe" Kaufman (R) 47.5% · D+4.9.

District 24

DFrederica Wilson

68.2%won

result (not polled)

RJesus Gabriel Navarro

31.8%

result (not polled)

Difference: 36.5 points

Photos: Frederica Wilson, Office of United States Rep. Frederica Wilson (D-Florida), 2011, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Frederica Wilson (D) 68.2% ✓, Jesus Gabriel Navarro (R) 31.8% · D+36.5.

District 25

DDebbie Wasserman Schultz

54.5%won

result (not polled)

RChris Eddy

45.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 8.9 points

Photos: Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) 54.5% ✓, Chris Eddy (R) 45.5% · D+8.9.

District 26

RMario Diaz-Balart

70.9%won

result (not polled)

DJoey Atkins

29.1%

result (not polled)

Difference: 41.8 points

Photos: Mario Diaz-Balart, US House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Mario Diaz-Balart (R) 70.9% ✓, Joey Atkins (D) 29.1% · R+41.8.

District 27

RMaria Elvira Salazar

60.4%won

result (not polled)

DLucia Baez-Geller

39.6%

result (not polled)

Difference: 20.8 points

Photos: Maria Elvira Salazar, Office of Congresswoman Maria Elvira Salazar, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Maria Elvira Salazar (R) 60.4% ✓, Lucia Baez-Geller (D) 39.6% · R+20.8.

District 28

RCarlos A. Gimenez

64.6%won

result (not polled)

DPhil Ehr

35.4%

result (not polled)

Difference: 29.1 points

Photos: Carlos A. Gimenez, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Carlos A. Gimenez (R) 64.6% ✓, Phil Ehr (D) 35.4% · R+29.1.