Governor

DXavier Becerra
60.7%
average of 3 polls

RSteve Hilton
36.0%
average of 3 polls
Difference: 24.7 points
Photos: Xavier Becerra, United States Department of Health and Human Services, Public domain; Steve Hilton, Gage Skidmore, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+24.7, corrected D+25.0 (±4.2) · 3 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-19
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 2026-10-17 to 2026-10-19 | 1,000 LV | Xavier Becerra (D) 64; Steve Hilton (R) 36 | D+28.0 | 6.0 |
| University of California, Berkely Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/TrueDot/ Politico for Politico | 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-14 | 909 LV | Xavier Becerra (D) 55; Steve Hilton (R) 35; Undecided (UND) 10 | D+20.0 | 6.0 |
| ActiVote | 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-16 | 400 LV | Xavier Becerra (D) 63; Steve Hilton (R) 37 | D+26.0 | 9.5 |