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California 2024 polls and results

U.S. Senate

Photo of Adam B. Schiff
DAdam B. Schiff
59.2%won
average of 6 polls · result 58.9%
RSteve Garvey
36.3%
average of 6 polls · result 41.1%

Difference: 22.9 points

Photos: Adam B. Schiff, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+22.9, corrected D+21.9 · 6 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-03

Result: Adam B. Schiff (D) 58.9% ✓, Steve Garvey (R) 41.1% · D+17.7. The plain poll average missed by 5.2 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin
Research Co.2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03450 LVAdam B. Schiff (D) 60; Steve Garvey (R) 37D+23.0
Cygnal2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30611 LVAdam B. Schiff (D) 60; Steve Garvey (R) 35.8D+24.2
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for LA Times2024-10-22 to 2024-10-294,341 LVAdam B. Schiff (D) 55; Steve Garvey (R) 34D+21.0
YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government2024-10-07 to 2024-10-171,139 RVAdam B. Schiff (D) 56; Steve Garvey (R) 35D+21.0
Public Policy Institute of California2024-10-07 to 2024-10-151,137 LVAdam B. Schiff (D) 63; Steve Garvey (R) 37D+26.0
ActiVote2024-10-06 to 2024-10-27400 LVAdam B. Schiff (D) 61.2; Steve Garvey (R) 38.8D+22.4
ActiVote2024-10-01 to 2024-10-18400 LVAdam B. Schiff (D) 63.4; Steve Garvey (R) 36.6D+26.8

U.S. Senate (special election)

Photo of Adam B. Schiff
DAdam B. Schiff
58.0%won
average of 2 polls · result 58.8%
RSteve Garvey
35.0%
average of 2 polls · result 41.3%

Difference: 23.0 points

Photos: Adam B. Schiff, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+23.0, corrected D+20.4 · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-03

Result: Adam B. Schiff (D) 58.8% ✓, Steve Garvey (R) 41.3% · D+17.5. The plain poll average missed by 5.5 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin
Research Co.2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03450 LVAdam B. Schiff (D) 61; Steve Garvey (R) 35D+26.0
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for LA Times2024-10-22 to 2024-10-294,341 LVAdam B. Schiff (D) 55; Steve Garvey (R) 35D+20.0