U.S. Senate
RTom Cotton
50.0%
average of 2 polls
DHallie Shoffner
40.0%
average of 2 polls
Difference: 10.0 points
Photos: Tom Cotton, U.S. Senate Photo Office, Public domain; Hallie Shoffner, Ark. Agricultural Experiment Station, CC BY-SA 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+10.0, corrected R+11.8 (±5.3) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-13
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College for Talk Business & Politics | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-13 | 709 LV | Tom Cotton (R) 50; Hallie Shoffner (D) 41; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 4 | R+9.0 | 7.0 |
| GrayHouse | 2026-09-30 to 2026-10-04 | 550 LV | Tom Cotton (R) 50; Hallie Shoffner (D) 39; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 7 | R+11.0 | 7.8 |