At-large district
RNick Begich III
47.7%
average of 3 polls
DEric Hafner
5.7%
average of 3 polls
Difference: 42.0 points
Photos: Nick Begich III, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
The leading candidates are not a Democrat and a Republican, so there is no D−R average.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling(D-aligned) | 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-15 | 578 RV | Nick Begich III (R) 45; Eric Hafner (D) 5; Other (OTH) 46; Undecided (UND) 4 | R+40.0 | 4.8 |
| Data for Progress(D-aligned) | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-16 | 694 LV | Nick Begich III (R) 48; Eric Hafner (D) 5; Other (OTH) 43; Undecided (UND) 4 | R+43.0 | 4.4 |
| Alaska Survey Research | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-03 | 1,512 LV | Nick Begich III (R) 50; Eric Hafner (D) 7; Other (OTH) 44 | R+43.0 | 3.1 |